The Dolphins have shown a lot of life this season and are actually in the playoff race in the AFC. The Raiders on the other hand are usually a team that gamblers that bet on football want to avoid at all costs.
NFL betting history tells us that the Dolphins have won 7 of the last 10 games against Oakland. They are also 6-4 against the NFL betting pointspread in those games. The teams played last year in Miami when the Dolphins were terrible and the Raiders won 35-17 according to NFL betting numbers. The other two meetings in Miami this decade both went to the Dolphins according to NFL betting statistics.
The Raiders have not been a very good team in recent seasons as a road underdog, winning less than 50% of the time according to NFL betting stats. The problem for gamblers that bet on football in this game is that Miami has been a horrible home favorite in recent seasons. They are under 30% in that role since 2005 according to NFL betting stats. Perhaps with Chad Pennington at quarterback and a new outlook those numbers will start to change for the Dolphins.
Looking at the NFL betting total we see that four of the last six meetings between the two teams and two of the last three have gone under. That could be Sunday’s result as well versus the NFL odds considering the Raiders have no offense but a decent defense. The Raiders have gone under the total almost 60% of the time on the road since 2005 according to NFL betting numbers.
Most gamblers that bet on football will choose to back the Dolphins in this NFL betting matchup. That does not mean that the Raiders can’t cover the big number though. History has shown in NFL betting that anything can, and oftentimes does happen.
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