Team Superbowl Odds Trends

December 1st, 2010 NFL Football

Superbowl odds favor the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday by 5 points and the total is 56.5.

Super Bowl XLIV betting has some interesting trends to consider, some of which favor the Saints while others favor the Colts.  Here is a look at some of the specific Superbowl odds trends for each side.

Superbowl odds have the Saints coming into this game at 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Keep in mind the Saints did not cover the spread against the Vikings even though they won the game.  The Saints have not been underdogs very often recently but they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.  The Saints don’t play on grass that often but they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. The Saints have had a couple of byes this season. They covered the spread against the Giants after their regular season bye and then routed Arizona in the playoffs after their bye week in the Wild Card round.

The Colts play in a dome as do the Saints but the Colts do very well on grass. The Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass and Superbowl odds this year are from Miami which is a grass field. Indianapolis has been a very good favorite as they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games laying points.   The Colts have been good in the playoffs as they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.  When the Colts are favored by more than a field goal but not double-digit favorites, the Colts are 5-0 against the spread. When the spread jumps up to 5.5 or more the Colts are 6-3 ATS spread.  Super Bowl XLIV betting has the Colts as a five-point favorite.

Considering the Super Bowl XLIV betting total trends we see that five of the last six New Orleans playoff games have gone over the total. Five of the last six Indianapolis games overall have gone over. In the playoffs, seven of the last ten Colts games have gone under the total.  Most people don’t want to consider the under in Super Bowl XLIV betting. With two prolific offenses, people want to bet the over in Superbowl odds.  Recent history in Superbowl odds trends has pointed to the under even though last year’s Super Bowl between Arizona and Pittsburgh did go over the Superbowl odds.

To the Top