Preakness Stakes wagering on the Kentucky Derby winner is usually very popular. While Preakness Stakes odds normally favor the Derby winner that does not mean the horse always wins. Let’s look at some recent history of the Kentucky Derby winner in the Preakness Stakes.
Preakness Stakes wagering will not have the Kentucky Derby winner favored this year. Mine That Bird was a 50-1 longshot winner of the Derby and he will not be one of the favorites in Preakness Stakes odds. In 2008 it was Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown a big 1-5 favorite in Preakness Stakes wagering and he was an easy winner. The Derby winner in 2007 was Street Sense and he was the favorite in Preakness Stakes odds but lost to Curlin.
Going back to the start of this decade we have seen the Kentucky Derby coming through only four times in Preakness Stakes wagering. Big Brown, Smarty Jones, War Emblem and Funny Cide were winners in Preakness Stakes odds. Of those four horses only Smarty Jones was not the favorite in Preakness Stakes wagering. Smarty Jones was underestimated in Preakness Stakes wagering at the sportsbook as he ended up winning the race by more than 11 lengths.
Usually in Preakness Stakes wagering the Kentucky Derby is going to be overbet. People want to cheer for a Triple Crown so they are going to bet on the Derby winner in Preakness Stakes wagering. Recent history has shown that to be effective somewhat although the return on investment is not that great. Preakness Stakes wagering history tells us that the favorite wins about half the time. Most of the time that favorite is the Kentucky Derby winner but not always. In 2009 the favorite will not be Kentucky Derby winner, Mine That Bird. The favorite in 2005 was not Kentucky Derby winner Giacomo. Both Giacomo and Mine That Bird were 50-1 longshot winners of the Derby and not highly respected by most sports betting gamblers.
If you want to take a shot in Preakness Stakes wagering on the Kentucky Derby you have some history for and against you. Normally the Derby favorite does okay in Preakness Stakes wagering but longshot winners of the Derby normally do not. You have to pick and choose what sports betting history you want to look at with the 2009 Preakness Stakes and the chances of Mine That Bird.
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