Week 3 of the United Football League season is when the early-season noise starts to turn into something bettors and fans can actually trust. To show, the Orlando Storm and Dallas Renegades both enter the weekend looking to maintain their perfect records. Also, they can solidify their football betting lines grip on the top two spots in the standings. A win for Orlando would keep them undefeated and potentially create a two-game cushion over several teams in the middle of the pack.
On the other hand, the Louisville Kings and Columbus Aviators are fighting for survival as both teams sit at zero wins and two losses. In a league where only four of the eight teams make the playoffs, starting the season with three straight offshore betting losses is historically difficult to overcome.
UFL Week 3 Schedule
Friday, April 10
Saturday, April 11
Sunday, April 12
- Columbus Aviators at Dallas Renegades — 12:00 PM ET (ABC)
- Birmingham Stallions at St. Louis Battlehawks — 3:00 PM ET (ABC)
UFL Week 3 Odds
Friday, April 10
Orlando Storm (2–0) at Louisville Kings (0–2)
- Spread: Orlando -3
- Moneyline: Louisville +136, Orlando -150
- Total: 38.5
Saturday, April 11
Houston Gamblers (1–1) at DC Defenders (1–1)
- Spread: DC -6.5
- Moneyline: Houston +230, DC -290
- Total: 47.5
Sunday, April 12
Columbus Aviators (0–2) at Dallas Renegades (2–0)
- Spread: Dallas -7
- Moneyline: Dallas -330, Columbus +270
- Total: 46.5
Birmingham Stallions (1–1) at St. Louis Battlehawks (1–1)
- Spread: Birmingham -2.5
- Moneyline: Birmingham -160, St. Louis +135
- Total: 42.5
How Sportsbooks Price Week 3 UFL Games
Correction for “Dynasty” Bias
At the onset of the season, oddsmakers priced the Birmingham Stallions as heavy title favorites based on their three-year championship run. However, Week 3 pricing shows a significant “slide” in their market value.
Reaction to the “Reed-to-Vaughns” Efficiency
The Dallas Renegades saw the most aggressive price adjustment of the week. After quarterback Austin Reed threw for 240 yards and Tyler Vaughns caught 11 passes in Week 2, oddsmakers shortened their championship odds to +200. Concurrently, they opened as the most expensive Week 3 favorites against Columbus.
The St. Louis “Dome” Factor
Oddsmakers gave St. Louis a nearly 3-point swing in their Football odds line against Birmingham. Cause by the noise-induced communication issues that visiting teams faced in Weeks 1 and 2.
UFL Week 3 SBG Best Bets
Dallas Renegades -7.5 vs. Columbus Aviators
- The Renegades are currently the most efficient team in the league against the spread (ATS). Hence, this matchup offers their most favorable statistical advantage to date.
Houston Gamblers at DC Defenders: Over 47.5
- This total is the highest of the Week 3 slate. Yet it may still be undervalued. The Defenders return home, where Jordan Ta’amu has historically performed significantly better than on the road.
Birmingham Stallions vs. St. Louis Battlehawks: St. Louis -1.5
- Specifically, in a game with such a thin margin, the edge goes to the home favorite with the more established quarterback-receiver connection.
Orlando Storm at Louisville Kings: Under 38.5
- The Storm have relied on a dominant defensive front to secure their 2-0 start. To illuminate, they are frequently shutting down opponents in the second half. Louisville is still struggling to settle on a primary quarterback.
UFL Week 3 Potential Traps
- Chasing “Proven” Teams or Overreacting to Records-Public money often piles on undefeated teams (Dallas 2-0, Orlando 2-0) or “dynasty” sides like Birmingham. Public brands can often be inflated.
- Overvaluing favorites can be a trap if the favorite is coming off an emotional/high-effort win or faces a motivated underdog.
- Totals Trap-Assuming High-Scoring Games Early-season unders have hit frequently as offenses gel slowly. The public loves overs in exciting spring football, but totals can be deceptive.