On the whole Saturday’s matchup between Fabrico Werdum and Alexander Gustafsson could be the most interesting. Both fighters are highly regarded for past success. Of course, Werdum is a former UFC heavyweight champion. Gustafsson was last seen announcing his retirement. Looking back that was a decision based on the frustration of a UFC Betting loss. Summing up Saturday’s bout is a chance for both fighters to regain championship contention. Gustafsson is tabbed as a prohibitive favorite.
UFC on ESPN – Werdum vs. Gustafsson – Heavyweight Bout
| Date and Time: | Saturday, July 25, 2020, 11 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates |
| UFC on ESPN Main Card TV Coverage: | ESPN |
UFC on ESPN Werdum vs. Gustafsson SBG Odds:
| Fighters | Odds |
|---|---|
| Fabricio Werdum | +290 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | -340 |
Fabrico Werdum vs. Alexander Gustafsson – Heavyweight Bout Odds Overview
Starting with his bout is a chance for Gustafsson and Werdum to regain lost momentum. Neither fighter has shown the betting public much sports betting success. On the other hand, Gustafsson is seen as having much more upside. Which explains his high price.
Fabrico Werdum Profile and Record
Fabricio “Vai Cavalo” Werdum is age 42 and fights out of Los Angeles, California. Previously the Brazil native fought in PRIDE, Strikeforce, and Jungle Fight. Werdum is best known as a former UFC heavyweight champion. Additionally, Werdum holds a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and Judo.
Record: 23-8-1, Country: Brazil, Height: six feet, four inches, Weight: 231 pounds, Reach: 77 inches, Leg Reach: 45 inches, Win By KO/TKO: 26%, Submission: 48%, Decision: 26%, Average Fight Time: 11:14, Knockdown Average: 0.31, Significant Strikes landed per minute: 4.64, Significant Strikes: 56%, Absorbed per minute: 4.57, Defense: 55%, Grappling take down average: 1.18, Takedown Accuracy: 27%, Takedown Defense: 31%. Submission Average: 0.39
Alexander Gustafsson Profile and Record
Alexander “The Mauler” Gustafsson fights out of his native Stockholm, Sweden. Specifically, he has competed as a light heavyweight and heavyweight. Originally Gustafsson trained as a boxer. Following a June 1, 2019 loss to Anthony Smith did Gustafsson announce retirement. One year later he decided to launch a comeback.
Record: 18-6, Country: Sweden, Height: six feet, five inches, Weight: 205 pounds, Reach: 79 inches, Leg Reach: 46 inches, Win By KO/TKO: 61%, Submission: 17%, Decision: 22%, Average Fight Time: 11:26, Knockdown Average: 0.74, Significant Strikes landed per minute: 4.02, Significant Strikes: 40%, Absorbed per minute: 3.44, Defense: 51%, Grappling take down average: 1.56, Takedown Accuracy: 39%, Takedown Defense: 85%, Submission Average: 0.41%
Fabrico Werdum Recent Form
Of great concern is that Fabrico Werdum has lost his two more recent fights. May 9, 2020, was a split decision loss to Aleksei Oleynik. March 17, 2018, was a knockout loss to Alexander Volkov. Werdum lost his UFC heavyweight title belt to Stipe Miocic on May 14, 2016.
Alexander Gustafsson Recent Form
So too has Gustafsson struggled with five losses in his last eight bouts. Including his last two fights. The aforementioned submission choke loss to Anthony Smith was his last bout.
Fabrico Werdum vs. Alexander Gustafsson – SBG Free Pick
In this situation, Alexander Gustafsson is overpriced with the UFC Betting odds. Werdum is a proven heavyweight. Gustafsson stormed off UFC in a fit of pique that followed a loss. That and his recent struggles make this price too high.
Werdum vs. Gustafsson SBG Best Bet: Fabrico Werdum