UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh (also known as UFC Fight Night 268) is an upcoming event happening this Saturday, February 28, 2026, at Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico. The main UFC Betting event is a flyweight bout featuring former two-time UFC Flyweight Champion Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) and Lone’er Kavanagh (9-1-0). Initially, Moreno was set to face Asu Almabayev, but Almabayev withdrew due to injury, and Kavanagh stepped in on short notice. This is a solid homecoming matchup for Moreno in Mexico.
Moreno is returning home after a TKO offshore Bookmaker loss to Tatsuro Taira in December 2025 (he’d won his previous two over Amir Albazi and Steve Erceg). At the onset, he was set to face Asu Almabayev (who pulled out due to injury). Now, Moreno gets a short-notice replacement in Kavanagh.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Main Card
| Date and Time: | Saturday, February 28, 2026, 8 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Mexico |
| TV Coverage: | Paramount+ |
Main Event – Flyweight (5 rounds) Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moreno | -225 |
| Kavanagh | +185 |
Bantamweight Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Vera | -280 |
| Martinez | +220 |
Lightweight Daniel Zellhuber vs. King Green
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Green | -218 |
| Zellhuber | +180 |
Flyweight Edgar Chairez vs. Felipe Bunes
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chairez | -250 |
| Bunes | +190 |
Flyweight Imanol Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rodriguez | -430 |
| Borjas | +300 |
Bantamweight Santiago Luna vs. Ángel Pacheco
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Luna | -480 |
| Pacheco | +330 |
Indeed, Fight Night is a chance for Moreno to rebound in his home country. The Main Card offers solid veteran vs. prospect matchups and plenty of fireworks in the lower weights. It’s not a pay-per-view stacked with titles. However, it’s a fun, competitive Fight Night with ranking implications—especially in the flyweight division. Moreno is the big draw and heavy favorite across books.
Moreno vs. Kavanagh Matchup Analysis
Brandon Moreno
In sum, Brandon Moreno is 23-9-2, and the #6-ranked flyweight (former two-time UFC Flyweight Champion). He is well-rounded and elite, excellent in boxing with volume, sharp counters, strong wrestling entries, and high-level BJJ (black belt). Known for relentless pressure, durability, and 5-round cardio.
Moreno is rebounding from a TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira (Dec 2025 at UFC 323). Previously, back-to-back wins over Amir Albazi and Steve Erceg showed his championship-level game. He’s 11-6-2 in the UFC with massive experience against top competition (multiple title fights vs. Figueiredo, Pantoja, etc.). Moreno is proven in wars, has a great chin, mixes striking/grappling seamlessly, and excels in prolonged fights.
Lone’er Kavanagh
Lone’er Kavanagh is 9-1-0, #15-ranked, and an England-based prospect. Correlate that Kav has an explosive kickboxing base. He adds powerful striking, good speed, technical tools, and finishing ability (4 KOs in wins). Additionally, he brings solid takedown defense and composure under pressure.
Kavanagh is 2-1 in the UFC, with wins by decision over lower-ranked foes. But he suffered his first pro loss via KO/TKO to Charles Johnson (Aug 2025). Now he is a short-notice step-up after being pulled from a different booking. Kavanagh has limited experience against top-10 elites, while fatigue issues have shown in the past (led to a KO loss), unproven in 5-rounders or at high altitude. Also, short prep time makes adjustments harder.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
To conclude, Moreno’s elite experience, well-rounded game (striking + grappling). And 5-round familiarity makes him the consensus favorite. Kavanagh brings momentum from his UFC wins. But he is coming off a KO loss to Charles Johnson and faces a big step-up. Expect a technical flyweight war—Moreno likely controls the pace, but Kavanagh’s explosiveness could create chaos. Altitude might favor the local Moreno.
SBG Best Bet: Brandon Moreno.