UFC Fight Night Kape vs. Almabayev Main Card Betting Odds & Picks (03/01/2025)

Accordingly, Saturday night’s Fight Night main card is one of the best in the new year. The UFC Betting main event is the flyweight bout between #6 Manel Kape and #8 Asu Almabayev. The winner of this matchup will gain the inside track to a championship fight matchup. On the other hand, the loser will have a long road to get back in the mix. Also, the other mainliner on the card is a middleweight bout between Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez. In the lightweight division is a matchup of Nasrat Haqparast and Esteban Ribovics.

UFC Fight Night Kape vs. Almabayev Main Card

Date and Time:Saturday, March 1, 7 2025, 7 p.m. ET
Location:UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV
TV Coverage:ESPN+

Flyweight Bout

FighterOdds
Manel Kape-230
Asu Almabayev+190

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Overall, Manel Kape’s career online betting record is 20-7. Asu Almabayev’s record is 21-2.

Late on, Manel Kape has five wins in his most recent six bouts. He is coming off a 3rd round TKO win over Bruno Gustavo da Silva on December 14, 2024. Previously, Kape lost a unanimous decision agaisnt Muhammad Mokaev on July 27, 2024. That loss snapped a 4-bout winning streak. On September 10, 2023, Kape won a unanimous decision agaisnt Felipe dos Santos.

Asu Almabayev is riding a 17-bout winning streak. Last time out, he faced Matheus Nicolau on October 19, 2024. Almabayev scored a unanimous decision win. Previously, on Jun 15, 2024, Almabayev won a unanimous decision agaisnt Jose Johnson. While on March 9, 2024, Almabayev won a unanimous decision agaisnt CJ Vergara.

Middleweight Bout

FighterOdds
Cody Brundage+136
Julian Marquez -162

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Cody Brundage has a career record of 10-6. By contrast, Julian Marquez stands at 9-5 in his career.

Of great concern is that Cody Brundage has only two wins in his most recent seven bouts. Brundage is coming off an NC for illegal elbows against Abdul Razak Alhassan on July 13, 2024. Previously, on April 13, 2024, Brundage lost a 2nd round submission to Bo Nickal. That defeat snapped a 2-bout winning streak.

In like manner to Brundage, Julian Marquez lost four of his most recent six bouts. Including his most recent three consecutive bouts. Last time out, Marquez lost a 1st round TKO against Zachary Reese on June 8, 2024. Previously, Marquez lost a 2nd round TKO against Marc Andre Barriault on March 4, 2023. While on June 18, 2022, Marquez lost a 1st round knockout against Gregory Rodrigues.

Lightweight Bout

FighterOdds
Nasrat Haqparast+205
Esteban Ribovics-250

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In sum, Nasrat Haqparast has a career UFC Betting odds record of 17-5. Esteban Ribovics has a career marker of 14-1.

Late on, Nasrat Haqparast is riding a 3-bout winning streak. He is coming off a split decision win over Jared Gordon on June 22, 2024. On December 9, 2023, Haqparast won a 1st round TKO against Jamie Mullarkey. Previously, on September 10, 2023, Haqparast won a unanimous decision agaisnt Landon Quinones.

Heavyweight Bout

FighterOdds
Austen Lane+295
Mario Pinto-375

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Overall, Austen Lane has a career record of 13-5. Mario Pinto stands at 1-0.

Featherweight Bout

FighterOdds
Hyder Amil+174
William Gomis-207

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Hyder Amil has a career record of 10-0. In comparison, William Gomis is 14-2 for his career.

UFC Fight Night SBG Free Picks

Nasrat Haqparast is in excellent form at a nice value price. So, too, do Cody Brundage and Asu Almabayev make sense as comparable underdogs.

UFC Fight Night SBG Best Bets: Nasrat Haqparast, Cody Brundage and Asu Almabayev.