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UFC 326 Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Betting Odds, Predictions & Picks (03/07/2026)

SBGGlobal.eu » UFC Betting » UFC 326 Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Betting Odds, Predictions & Picks (03/07/2026)
UFC 326 Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Saturday Odds

At the onset of the week, there is eager anticipation for one of the biggest UFC fights in years. Paramount+ is the new and exclusive media partner of the UFC. On Saturday night, fans and gamblers will see why Paramount+ went all in on the UFC. To illuminate, UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 is a UFC pay-per-view event set for Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main UFC betting odds event features former champions clashing in a rematch for the ceremonial “BMF” title at lightweight.

This card comes just days away (as of March 2, 2026), with fight week in full swing. Including press conferences, media days, and the UFC Countdown special to build hype. It’s positioned as a fan-friendly showdown between two all-time greats known for exciting, high-volume fights. This fight is the rematch fans have wanted for over a decade. Correlate their first meeting was back in 2015 at featherweight (UFC Fight Night), where Holloway won via doctor stoppage due to Oliveira’s injury (neck/throat issue), not a classic finish

UFC 326 Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Odds

UFC Main Card Odds at SBG

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV, will host UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. Main Card online wagering begins at 9 p.m. ET, with media coverage on Paramount+. 

Main Card Matchups and Odds 

Lightweight (BMF Title): Max Holloway (c) vs. Charles Oliveira 

TeamTotalML
Charles Oliveira2½ (-155)+190Bet Now on this Game
Max Holloway2½ (+135)-225
Bet Now on this Game

Holloway has tightened as the UFC betting favorite, with public action coming in on his striking volume and durability in the rematch.

Middleweight: Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder 

TeamTotalML
Reinier de Ridder2½ (-190)+235Bet Now on this Game
Caio Borralho2½ (+165)-275
Bet Now on this Game

Borralho is favored due to his well-rounded game against de Ridder’s grappling focus.

Bantamweight: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. 

TeamTotalML
Rob Font2½ (-195)+190Bet Now on this Game
Caio Borralho2½(+170)-225
Bet Now on this Game

Young prospect Rosas Jr. edges as the favorite in this clash of experience vs. rising talent.

Lightweight: Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson 

TeamTotalML
Michael Johnson1½ (-180)-117Bet Now on this Game
Drew Dober1½ (+157)-103
Bet Now on this Game

Veteran Johnson is slightly favored in a striker’s delight.

Middleweight: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira 

TeamTotalML
Brunno Ferreira1½ (-103)+170Bet Now on this Game
Gregory Rodrigues1½ (-117)-200
Bet Now on this Game

Rodrigues’ power and aggression make him the pick on the boards.

Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 – The Main Event 

UFC 326’s main event is a highly anticipated lightweight BMF title rematch between Max Holloway (27-8-0) and Charles Oliveira (36-11-0).

As mentioned earlier, their first encounter in August 2015 ended abruptly at 1:39 of Round 1 when Oliveira suffered a neck injury during a takedown attempt. Thus, Holloway emerged victorious via TKO. This rematch comes after over a decade of evolution for both fighters. Holloway has become a striking machine and BMF champion. At the same time, Oliveira transformed into a former lightweight titleholder with record-setting finishes. 

The fight represents unfinished business, with Holloway defending the symbolic “BMF” belt he won in 2024. It’s a clash of elite striking volume versus world-class grappling. Naturally, there is high potential for fireworks given both fighters’ aggressive styles.

Max Holloway (“Blessed”) is coming off strong performances. Including a decision win over Dustin Poirier. He’s the current BMF holder, with legendary volume striking (UFC record for significant strikes landed), relentless pace, and iron chin. At lightweight, he’s shown he can handle bigger opponents. Odds favor him around -200, reflecting his durability and output.

Charles Oliveira (“Do Bronx”) is a former lightweight champ, submission wizard with opportunistic chaos, elite grappling, and finishing power. He recently submitted Mateusz Gamrot. Concurrently, this is a redemption shot, but Holloway’s pressure could exploit his chin and defensive holes.

Most gamblers expect a war. Holloway’s forward pressure and volume could overwhelm Oliveira on the feet. However, if Oliveira survives early and drags it to the mat, he could end it. Many see this as potentially the last big title-relevant fight for both (both in their 30s, legends, but past prime title runs). Sharps believe it could go 5 rounds or finish spectacularly. 

UFC 326 Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Best Bets

To conclude, Holloway brings Elite volume striking, iron chin, and strong takedown defense (historically 80%+). He’s in better recent form (4-1 in last 5, including the decision over Poirier), and his pace could wear down Oliveira’s standing.

Main Pick:

Max Holloway 

Fighter Prop:

Fight Not to Go the Distance.

caliche

Published on: March 5, 2026
Last updated: March 4, 2026

Online Wagering, UFC
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