UFC 316 Dvalishvili vs. O’Malley 2 Main Card Betting Analysis & Picks (06/07/2025)

Many fight fans and gamblers will be saying that they never had it so good on Saturday night. To illuminate, UFC 316 features two championship bouts and six ranked combatants. The main UFC Betting event is the bantamweight title bout between Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O’Malley. Also fighting for a championship belt will be Julianna Pena and Kayla Harrison from the women’s bantamweight division. In the bantamweight division, #10 Mario Bautista meets Patchy Mix. The welterweight division offers #14 Vicente Luque agaisnt Kevin Holland. While Kevin Gastelum faces Joe Pyfer in the middleweight division.

UFC 316 Dvalishvili vs. O’Malley 2 Main Card

Date and Time:Saturday, June 7, 2025, 10 p.m. ET
Location:Prudential Center, Newark, NJ
TV Coverage:ESPN+

Bantamweight Title Bout

FighterOdds
Merab Dvalishvili-325
Sean O’Malley+260

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Defending champion Merab Dvalishvili has a career offshore betting record of 19-4. In comparison, Sean O’Malley has a career mark of 18-2 with one No Contest.

On September 14, 2024, Merab Dvalishvili won a unanimous decision agaisnt Sean O’Malley to win the UFC bantamweight title. That fight took place in Las Vegas, NV. Subsequently, on January 18, 2205, Dvalishvili won a unanimous decision agaisnt Umar Nurmagomedov in Inglewood, CA. As a result, Dvalishvili successfully defended his title belt.

Previously, Sean O’Malley was the UFC bantamweight champion. Since losing his title belt to Dvalishvili, O’Malley has been idle. Initially, O’Malley won the bantamweight championship on August 19, 2023, in a 2nd-round TKO against Aljamain Sterling. That fight took place in Boston, MA. Next, on March 9, 2024, O’Malley won a unanimous decision agaisnt Marlon Vera in Miami, FL. Thus, O’Malley retained his title belt.

Women’s Bantamweight Title Bout

FighterOdds
Julianna Pena+455
Kayla Harrison-625

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Defending champion Julianna Pena has a career record of 13-5. On the other hand, Kayla Harrison has a career record of 18-1 for her career.

Of course, Julianna Pena is best known as the 2-time and current women’s bantamweight champion. On December 11, 2021, Pena won a 2nd-round submission against Amanda Nunes in Las Vegas, NV. As a result, Pena won the UFC bantamweight title. However, on July 30, 2022, Pena lost a unanimous decision agaisnt Nunes in the rematch at Dallas, TX. Thus, Pena lost the title belt. But on October 5, 2024, Pena won a split decision against Raquel Pennington to reclaim the bantamweight title belt. That fight was held in Salt Lake City, UT.

Welterweight Bout

FighterOdds
Vincente Luque+225
Kevin Holland-265

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Vicente Luque has a career record of 23-10-1. By contrast, Kevin Holland is 27-13 for his career.

Of great concern is that Kelvin Gastelum has lost three of his most recent five bouts. However, he is coming off a 1st-round TKO win agaisnt Temba Gorimbo on December 7, 2024.

In like manner, Kevin Holland lost four of his last six bouts. But he won his last bout by unanimous decision against Gunner Nelson on March 22, 2025.

Middleweight Bout

FighterOdds
Kelvin Gastelum+310
Joe Pyfer-395

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Overall, Kelvin Gastelum has a career record of 20-9 with the UFC Betting odds. In comparison, Joe Pyfer stands at 13-3 for his career.

Bantamweight Bout

FighterOdds
Mario Bautista+145
Patchy Mix-175

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In sum, Mario Bautista has a career record of 15-2. Meanwhile, Patchy Mix is making his UFC debut.

UFC 316 SBG Free Picks

On this occasion, Sean O’Malley and Julianna Pena offer strong betting value as quality underdogs who have won recent championships.

UFC 316 SBG Best Bets: Sean O’Malley and Julianna Pena.