Vulnerable Favorites in U.S. Open Betting

December 2, 2010 Tennis

The U.S. Open gets underway later this month and the favorites in U.S. Open betting on the men’s and women’s side could be vulnerable.

Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer are the two favorites in U.S. Open odds on the men’s side while Serena Williams is the favorite on the women’s side.

U.S. Open betting lists Nadal at +230 and Federer at +240.  Andy Murray is the third choice at 4-1. None of those three inspire a lot of confidence. Nadal is the top player in the world but he has never won the U.S. Open.  Federer is playing worse than perhaps he ever has while Murray never comes though in Grand Slam events.  It used to be all about Federer in Grand Slam events but his best days seem behind him.  Nadal would be the choice in this event but his lack of success in New York is a major concern.

The rest of the men’s field is listed at double-digits in U.S. Open odds. Novak Djokovic is 11-1 while Robin Soderling and Tomas Berdych are each 15-1.  Andy Roddick is 16-1 with Nikolay Davydenko and Marin Cilic at 31-1. None of the other players in the field have odds less than 50-1. Last year it was Juan Martin del Potro defeated Federer in the final but del Potro is coming back from an injury and his status is uncertain.

The women’s odds heavily favor Serena Williams but her health is a major question so she may be overvalued at even money odds.  Kim Clijsters is the second choice at 3.5 to 1 while Maria Sharapova is 5.5 to 1. Venus Williams is the only other player with single-digit odds as she is 8.5 to 1. If Serena Williams is not at full strength the women’s side is wide open.  Victoria Azarenka is 10-1 while Caroline Wozniacki is 12-1 and Samantha Stosur is 13-1.  Jelena Jankovic and Vera Zvonareva are each 15-1. Elena Dementieva is 18-1. Bettors are taking a shot with some players as longshots in the U.S. Open. Odds on Aravane Rezai have dropped to 23.5 to 1 while odds on Yanina Wickmayer have dropped to 25-1. Svetlana Kuznetsova is 28-1 while Na Li and Petra Kvitova are 35-1.  Last year it was Kim Clijsters defeating Caroline Wozniacki in the final.

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