Preakness Stakes Betting – Speed Guru Doesn’t Like Derby Winner

May 31, 2011 Preakness Stakes

Many people like the chances of Animal Kingdom in Preakness Stakes betting but one person that does not is Jerry Brown.

He is the owner of Thoro-Graph which is a leading service that is used by owners and trainers to analyze horses.  Brown has said that bettors who like Animal Kingdom in Preakness betting should be cautious.

Lack of Dirt Experience
The main reason that Brown doesn’t like Animal Kingdom is his lack of experience on dirt. The Kentucky Derby was the first race that Animal Kingdom had ever run on the dirt.  Brown is not happy with all of the synthetic tracks that have made handicapping races much more difficult.  He called the Kentucky Derby a total crap shoot.   Many of the horses that were moving from synthetic tracks to the dirt at Churchill Downs did not fare well but Animal Kingdom was the exception.

Historical Facts
One of the main reasons Brown doesn’t like Animal Kingdom is that horses who win on dirt for the first time after racing on synthetic tracks don’t come back and win again very often.  Brown also doesn’t like the fact that Animal Kingdoms best-ever race was the Derby.  Horses have a tough time coming back on short rest to have two great back-to-back races.  Some superstar horses can pull off the feat but most people don’t believe that Animal Kingdom fits into that category.

Experts Are Oftentimes Wrong
While Brown may end up being correct about Animal Kingdom he could just as easily be wrong. Experts in horse racing are a dime a dozen and although Brown does have a good reputation, it is tough to know what a horse will do in Triple Crown races.  Before the Kentucky Derby we pointed out that Andy Beyer liked Shackleford and that horse finished a disappointing fourth.  Some other people liked Dialed In and he was never a factor as the beaten favorite in SBG horse racing odds. There will be many so-called experts that don’t like Animal Kingdom in Preakness betting but their opinions really don’t mean much.  If Animal Kingdom runs another good race he has a real chance to win in Preakness Stakes betting and have a shot to win the Triple Crown.

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