A Change in Style can Change the Value in 2010 Preakness Odds

2010 Preakness odds handicapping will go into a wide variety of important factors to consider that should ultimately isolate the best Preakness Stakes betting choice.

To have the best chance at success when betting on the Preakness Stakes you should consider all of the most important characteristics of a top value horse in this most tricky of the Triple Crown race lineup.

2010 Preakness odds are based in large part on the hype of the Kentucky Derby winner and the relative Preakness Stakes betting value, or lack thereof, as a result of the hype. One of the most important factors to look for when handicapping a horse for the Preakness is a potential change in running style.  A great guide to determine if a horse is ready to change gears would be the past performance charts, which often show patterns or tells of how a horse likes to race.

A great example of a horse that was in his groove and with a style that was not going to change was Mine That Bird, the winner of the Kentucky Derby last year and the runner up in the Preakness Stakes.  With Mine that Bird it was simple, coast for the first three quarters of the race and then make the big move at the stretch and go all out to the wire.

What you want to find out is if a horse is all of a sudden showing a dramatic change in their running style because that will completely alter the handicapping dynamics of the race and the board value, which is based in large part on the past rather than the present.  A change in running style can be a huge handicapping edge and literally be a weapon that steals value off the 2010 Preakness odds board.

A horse that consistently shows on the performance chart to be a fast starter only to fade at the stretch for several races may be a better value if that chart shows that in the last race or two a different pattern of maybe running in the middle of the pack to conserve energy before making a big move at the end.
By the same token a horse that would coast early and then go all out with the jockey’s whip late may be ready to take command early on and avoid getting trapped in the pack if the chart of his last race shows that he was more competitive in the early stages.

 

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