When Adam met Jay: Dolphins-Chiefs NFL Betting Spread

December 20th, 2017 NFL Football, Offshore Bookmaker

The Kansas City Chiefs could very realistically cover the 10-point NFL betting spread against the Miami Dolphins when the Fins come to the Redwood Forest. Rest assured though that even if that transpires, Miami head coach Adam Gase is not going to blame QB Jay Cutler. Even if it is his fault. Gase appeared to find fault with his Cutler’s decision-making on just one of the three picks he threw in Sunday’s 16-24 loss to the Bills. Cutler was a little more honest in his self-assessment. “Three turnovers. I’m responsible for all three, no matter what the situation was,” he said. Cutler had Dolphins tenure-worst 47.5 passer rating, completing 28 of 49 for 274 yards with no touchdowns, and was sacked three times and fumbled four times.

The Fins come to the Redwood Forest

  • Date: Sunday, 24th December
  • Time: 1:05 PM
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
  • Online sportsbook odds:

Dolphins +10 (-105) 44 (-110)

Chiefs -10 (-115) 44 (-110)

Miami still can’t win or cover on the road

The Dolphins are not mathematically out of the playoffs yet. However, players will likely be focusing on other, more attainable goals in the two remaining games of the season. Like “playing for their jobs,” as Gase said. We’re going to go ahead and assume that Cutler is exempted from that. For example, wide receiver Jarvis Landry will be looking to break his own Dolphins records. Namely, most catches in a season and most consecutive seasons with 1,000 or more receiving yards. On defense, Cameron ‘Finnegan’s’ Wake will be shooting for his fifth season with 10 sacks or more and become the 11th player in league history to record 10 sacks at age 35 or older.

Miami picked up two encouraging wins in a row; one of them a huge upset against the Patriots, whom offshore bookmakers had pegged as 10.5-point faves. Unfortunately, these Dolphins proved to be more fish than mammal, and couldn’t survive out of their small Hard Rock Stadium pond. Miami has gone 0-4 straight-up and against the NFL betting spread in their last four road games.

Reinvigorated Chiefs are on an under streak

Not entirely unlike the Dolphins, the Chiefs strung together two wins, but KC did it against divisional opponents the Raiders and Chargers. As a result, the Chiefs can now clinch the AFC West title with a win over Miami (or if the Chargers lose to the Jets). Kansas sowed the seeds for this late push even in defeat. The Chiefs have scored 29 points per game in the last three games, and allowed 16 or fewer in four of the last five.

Stemming from their newfound balance on both sides of the ball, the total has gone under in five of the Chiefs last six games. Additionally, Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall and 3-1 against the NFL betting spread in their last four home games, while Miami is 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road.

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