Barcelona FC -1 (-120) 3 (EV) -186
Villarreal +1 (EV) 3 (-120) +525
Barcelona FC/Villarreal Draw +333
Both Barcelona and Villareal are adept at creating chances through individual skill, but it goes without saying that the former has much more to draw from in that aspect in Messi, Suarez, Neymar, and Iniesta alone than the latter does arguably from its entire roster. Also, Barcelona has scored seven of their 41 goals from set pieces, which Villareal has trouble defending. We can expect much of this game to be spent in Villareal’s side of the pitch, as the home team plays a lot in their own half, and the visitors like to control the game in the opponent’s half. Villareal is known for creating long shot opportunities, but beating Barcelona truly is a long shot.
Barcelona’s latest Liga game was a 4-1 win over Espanyol on December 18th. Luis Suarez scored twice, and Jordi Alba and Lionel Messi scored once each. Barcelona (10-4-2) is second in the league (behind Real Madrid) with 34 points, 41 goals scored, and 16 goals allowed (+25 goal difference). Suarez and Messi have scored 12 goals each, while Rafinha has scored five. Neymar has six assists; Suarez and Sergi Roberto have four. Suarez has six yellow cards, Neymar has five, and Sergio Busquets has four. Caludio Bravo, Sergi Samper, and Sandro Ramirez are injured. Barcelona has six clean sheets and has failed to score in only one game.
In offshore betting lines trends, Barcelona is 6-0 straight-up in six of the last nine Liga games, 3-1 straight-up in four of the last five away games, 8-0 straight-up in the eight of the last 10 games versus Villareal, and 3-0 straight-up in four of the last five visits to El Madrigal. Barcelona’s on line sports betting over/under record is 10-6 (overall), 4-4 (home), 6-2 (away), and 7-3 (against Villareal).
Villareal’s latest Liga game was a 3-1 win over Sporting Gijon on December 18th. Jonathan Dos Santos, Nicola Sansone, and Alexandre Pato scored for the Yellow Submarine. Roberto Soriano was booked. Villareal (8-5-3) is fourth in the league with 29 points, 25 goals scored, and 11 goals allowed (+14 goal difference). Sansone has scored six goals, Soriano has scored four, and Bruno has scored three. Soriano and Samu Castillejo have three assists each, and Sansone has two. Soriano, Sansone, and Jaume Costa have three yellow cards each. Villareal has seven clean sheets and has failed to score in five games.
In offshore betting lines trends, Villareal is 2-2 straight-up in four of the last five league games, 1-1 straight-up in the last two home games, 0-8 straight-up in eight of the last 10 games versus Barcelona, and 0-3 straight-up in four of the last five games hosting Barcelona. Villareal’s on line sports betting over/under record is 7-9 (overall), 5-3 (home), 2-6 (away), and 7-3 (against Barcelona).