Since the 2016-17 season, Mitch Marner has been a regular forward in the National Hockey League. His NHL betting career began with the Toronto Maple Leafs, where he was a regular-season star and a playoff failure. At least that is how Maple Leaf fans see it. Following another playoff flop in 2025, the Maple Leafs raised the white flag of surrender. Now, Marner is with the Vegas Golden Knights, as his former team struggles to make the playoffs.
Certainly, Toronto’s playoff problems went far deeper than Marner. And Marner was a major factor in the Leafs’ playoff appearances from 2017 through 2025. But as one of the Maple Leaf marquee men, he paid the price with scorn. On Thursday night, Marner and his new Golden Knight teammates will host the Leafs in one of the biggest games of the regular season. ESPN will be on hand to televise the proceedings, and both teams will be motivated.
Following a strong start, the Golden Knights have hit a rough patch. Still, Vegas remains one of the favorites to win the Western Conference. Of great concern is that the Golden Knights have not gotten the quality goaltending. Former starter Aidin Hill is on injured reserve, and nobody else has filled the void.
The Maple Leafs and Golden Knights will draw vastly more interest and betting traffic than most other NHL games, especially with an ESPN telecast.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights NHL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Thursday, January 15, 2026, 9:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Betting Online Odds at SBG: | Click Here |
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights Betting Odds Analysis
Vegas will be a popular pick as the home team wanting to deliver for Marner against the ex-club. By contrast, the Maple Leafs will want to stick it to their old teammate.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights Team Overview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 23-15-7 straight up and 25-19 over/under the sportsbook total. Also, Toronto is 6th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Toronto is seven points behind the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Late on, Toronto has covered eight out of its last ten games. While the Maple Leafs have gone under the total in three of their previous four matchups.
Toronto has NHL rankings of 5th for goals scored and 24th for power play efficiency. In comparison, on defense, the Maple Leafs rank 22nd in goals against and 3rd in penalty killing.
Vegas Golden Knights Team Overview
The Vegas Golden Knights are 21-11-12 straight up and 23-20 over/under the NHL betting total. Also, Vegas is 4th in the Western Conference playoff standings. Vegas is 20 points behind the Colorado Avalanche in the Western Conference playoff race. Late on Vegas has covered four of its last five games. The Golden Knights have gone over the total in three of their previous four matchups.
In sum, Vegas ranks 10th in goals scored and 4th in power play efficiency. Defensively, the Golden Knights rank 15th in goals against and 9th in penalty killing.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights Betting Trends
Toronto failed to cover their last 20 away games. Also, Toronto went under the total in only one of its last four games. Meanwhile, Vegas has dropped four of its last seven home games. The Golden Knights went over the total in five of their last seven games.
In this series between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights, Vegas got the cash in four of the most recent six meetings. Four of the last five games between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights went over the total. Specifically in Vegas, the Golden Knights got the money in four of their last seven meetings against the Maple Leafs. The Knights and Leafs went over the total in five of their last seven meetings in Vegas.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights SBG Free Picks
In this situation, the Golden Knights will face a Toronto team that has not performed well on the road or in Sin City. Toronto’s defensive metrics are among the worst in the NHL.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights SBG Best Bet: Vegas Golden Knights.