On Sunday, two teams stuck in lost seasons will get a consolation prize. The Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders will get a working vacation in Madrid, Spain. While it may not be the Super Bowl, it is a welcome getaway for two teams that were expected to do much better with the NFL betting odds in 2025. Washington will be without the services of quarterback Jayden Daniels, the man who led them to the 2024 NFC Championship Game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins recently fired their general manager, and head coach Mike McDaniel is unlikely to return in 2026.
Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Sunday, November 16, 2025, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Santiago Bernabeu Stadium, Madrid, Spain |
| TV Coverage: | NFL Network |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +2½ ( -105 ) | 47½ ( -112 ) | +125 |  |
| Dolphins | -2½ ( -115 ) | 47½ ( -108 ) | -145 | |
| ||||
Commanders vs. Dolphins Betting Odds Analysis
Although this is a neutral-site game, Miami is the designated home team. Jayden Daniels is out with an elbow injury.
Neither team is going to excite gamblers. The Commanders are suffering from a market correction after coming out of nowhere to make the NFC Championship Game. In like manner, Jaden Daniels is suffering from a sophomore jinx. Meanwhile, the careers of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and head coach Mike McDaniel are imploding. Thus, gambling action will be wide open and split evenly.
Washington Commanders Team Overview
Last game, the Washington Commanders lost 44-22 against the Detroit Lions as 8.5-point home dogs. The game went over the total of 48.5. As a result, Washington is 3-7 straight up, 3-7 against the spread, and 5-5 over/under the offshore betting total. The Commanders are in 3rd place in the NFC East Division and 14th in the NFC wild card playoff race.
Washington ranks 17th for total offense, 26th for passing, 7th for rushing, 20th for scoring, and 20th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Washington ranks 30th for total defense, 30th vs. the pass, 23rd vs. rush, 29th for fewest points allowed, and 20th for takeaways. Washington is in 3rd place in the NFC East Division, three games behind the Chicago Bears for the final NFC wild card playoff spot.
Miami Dolphins Team Overview
Last game, the Miami Dolphins won 30-13 against the Buffalo Bills as 8-point home dogs. The game went under the total of 50. Now, Miami is 3-7 straight up, 5-5 against the spread, and 6-3-1 over/under the NFL Football Betting total. Miami is in 3rd place in the AFC East Division, 2.5 games behind the Jacksonville Jaguars for the final AFC wild card playoff spot.
Overall, Miami ranks 27th for total offense, 24th for passing, 25th for rushing, 26th for scoring, and 30th for fewest turnovers committed. Miami ranks 22nd for total defense, 12th vs. the pass, 28th vs. rush, 26th for fewest points allowed, and 31st for takeaways.
Commanders at Dolphins Betting Trends
Washington was a poor value on the road. To show, the Commanders covered only three of their most recent 11 away games. Washington went over the total in 12 of its last 20 away games.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins have been a surprisingly good value at home. The Dolphins covered the spread in five of their last eight games. Miami went over the total in nine of its last ten home games.
In the series between the Commanders and Dolphins, Washington failed to cover the spread in the most recent five meetings. Six of the last eight games between the Dolphins and Commanders went under the total.
As the visiting team, Washington failed to cover the spread in the last two games against Miami. Both games went under the total.
Commanders at Dolphins SBG Free Picks
In this situation, the loss of Jayden Daniels, Miami should have the Pro Football Bets advantage at quarterback. Miami has shown better-than-expected value and has become a solid contrarian play. By contrast, the Commander’s betting value is in free fall.
Commanders at Dolphins SBG Best Bet: Miami Dolphins.