This season, the Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Commanders have conveyed conflicting messages to gamblers. Until they earned a spot in the 2024 NFC Championship Game, the Commanders faced ridicule. Since then, gamblers and opponents have taken Washington far more seriously. Meanwhile, the Chiefs vowed to embark on an NFL redemption tour after their Super Bowl humiliation at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles. Problematic is the lack of consistency by the Chiefs. On Monday Night, the Chiefs will host the Commanders in what looks to be an entertaining game on ABC.
Washington Commanders at Kansas City Chiefs
| Date and Time: | Monday, October 27, 2025, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV Coverage: | ABC and ESPN |
| Commanders | +10½ ( -115 ) | 48 ( -107 ) | +446 |  |
| Chiefs | -10½ ( -105 ) | 48 ( -113 ) | -600 | |
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Commanders at Chiefs Betting Odds Analysis
Despite their problems, the Chiefs remain a powerful draw on the board at home. Kansas City enhanced that reputation with home wins over the Ravens and Lions in 2025. Washington is trying to prove that their incredible 2024 season was no fluke. Now that they can no longer ambush unsuspecting opponents, the Commanders have struggled to gain traction.
Washington Commanders Team Overview
Last game, the Washington Commanders lost 44-23 to the Dallas Cowboys as 1.5-point road dogs. The game went over the total of 55.5. As a result, Washington is 3-4 straight up, 3-4 against the spread, and 3-4 over/under the online wagering total.
Washington ranks 15th for total offense, 25th for passing, 2nd for rushing, 10th for scoring, and 17th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Washington ranks 25th for total defense, 24th against the pass, 21st against the rush, 21st for fewest points allowed, and 24th for takeaways.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs won 31-0 against the Las Vegas Raiders as 13.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 45. Now, Kansas City is 4-3 straight up, 4-3 against the spread, and 3-4 over/under the NFL Betting total.
Overall, Kansas City ranks 7th for total offense, 8th for passing, 13th for rushing, 7th for scoring, and 2nd for fewest turnovers committed. Kansas City ranks 5th for total defense, 4th vs. the pass, 14th vs. rush, 2nd for fewest points allowed, and 21st for takeaways.
Commanders at Chiefs Betting Trends
Of major concern is the recent loss of betting value by the Commanders on the road. Washington has only one payout in its last six road tilts. Five of those six away games went under the total.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs covered the spread in six of their last 11 home games, including three of the last four. The Chiefs went under the total in five of their last seven games at Arrowhead Stadium.
In the series between Washington and Kansas City, the Chiefs covered the most recent eight games. Four of the last six games between the Chiefs and Commanders went over the total.
Specifically at Kansas City, the Chiefs covered their last four games against the Commanders. Three of those four games went over the total.
Commanders at Chiefs SBG Free Picks
The Chiefs have recovered their Betting on NFL value at home this season. Washington is no longer as impressive in 2025, now that the spotlight is on them.
Commanders at Chiefs SBG Best Bet:
Kansas City Chiefs