TNF Week 11 Betting: Patriots vs. Falcons Picks & Analysis (11/18/2021)

New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Picks & Analysis (11-18-2021)

Super Bowl LI marks a defining moment for the Atlanta Falcons. On February 5, 2017, the Falcons appeared to have the Vince Lombardi Trophy in hand. Atlanta led New England 28-3 midway through the 3rd quarter. And then the Falcons blew the game to the NFL odds in a 34-28 overtime loss. New England’s comeback cemented the legacy of coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady. While for the Falcons, it was a day of infamy. Atlanta has never recovered from the debacle. But the 2021 Falcons are in the NFC playoff race.

New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Information

Date and Time:Thursday, November 18, 2021, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location:Mercedes Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Patriots at Falcons TV CoverageFOX
Patriots vs. Falcons Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Patriots-6½ (-110)47 (-110)-280
Falcons+6½ (-110)47 (-110)+230
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New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons SBG Odds Overview

In this situation, the masses will be on the Patriots. New England remains a popular online betting brand for squares. Sharps know this and will take a flier on the improved Falcons at a solid home price.

New England Patriots Team Overview

Last week the Patriots mauled the Browns 45-7 as 2.5-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 45. As a result, New England is 6-4 straight up, 6-4 against the spread, and 5-5 over/under. Overall, the Patriots rank 15th for total offense and 7th for scoring offense. Defensively, New England ranks 6th overall and 2nd for points allowed.

New England faces a letdown spot here. An interconference game in Atlanta is a stark contrast to hosting the Browns at home.

Atlanta Falcons Team Overview

Last week Atlanta was destroyed at Dallas 43-3 as 8-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 55. As a result, the Falcons are 4-5 straight up, 4-5 against the spread, and 5-4 over/under. Atlanta ranks 25th for total offense and 25th for scoring offense. Defensively, the Falcons rank 22nd overall and 31st for points allowed.

Despite the setback, the Falcons remain in the NFC playoff race. And with New England coming in, the Falcons will have a large home crowd backing them.

New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

  • On the road, New England is 50% against the spread
  • As a favorite, the Patriots are 46% vs. the odds
  • In non-conference action, New England is 50% against the spread
  • As an away team, New England is 60% under the total
  • As a favorite, the Patriots are 61% under the total
  • In non-conference games, New England is 75% under the total
  • At home, Atlanta is 36% against the spread
  • As an underdog, the Falcons are 53% vs. the odds
  • In non-conference action, Atlanta is 60% against the spread
  • As a home team, Atlanta is 63% under the total
  • As an underdog, the Falcons are 57% under the total
  • In non-conference games, Atlanta is 50% over/under the total
  • New England is 6-0 against the spread vs. Atlanta
  • The Patriots and Falcons are 5-3 over/under the total.
  • At Atlanta, the Patriots are 3-0 vs. the odds against the Patriots
  • These two teams are 3-1 over/under the total in Atlanta.

New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons SBG Free Picks

This club is not the Tom Brady Patriots on the board for NFL betting odds. Although more successful than the Falcons, the Patriots are retooling. Betting against the Pats is betting against the masses. And betting with the house. This road lay is too expensive.

Patriots at Falcons SBG Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons.

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