Tips for Super Bowl XLIV Betting

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

Super Bowl XLIV gives you a lot to consider so it is important to remember a few things. Here are some tips to help you analyze this year’s Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl XLIV  betting doesn’t have to be complicated.  Most of the time, the better team wins in Super Bowl odds.  That doesn’t mean you can always take the favored team and win in Super Bowl betting.  In fact, there are times when the better team will win and not cover the Super Bowl odds.  It happened last year when Pittsburgh won Super Bowl XLIII and yet didn’t cover the Super Bowl betting pointspread in the win against Arizona.  You should start with the favorite though in Super Bowl betting and decided if then are, indeed the better team.  Look back at the regular season and the playoffs and see if you can figure out who the better team is. 

Super Bowl betting is going to have some line movement but you can’t put too much stock into it.  Super Bowl odds get a lot more action than regular season games because more people bet the game.  When you get more people betting on something it means a couple of things. First, the favored team is going to get a lot more play and second, there are rarely any secrets in the line.  Super Bowl betting will have the favorite shaded a point or more because of the public’s tendency to lay the wood. The total will also be higher because the public likes to see points scored.  Don’t look at the Super Bowl and expect to find a surprise because the oddsmakers did their job well.

When you are betting Super Bowl odds you can sometimes get a point or two in your favor if you either shop around or bet the game at a certain time.  If you like the favored team then you better bet them just after the line comes out.  The line is likely to rise in the two weeks before the game.  If you like the underdog then waiting until game day might be the best choice.  This is not as cut and dried as it used to be since the public is smarter than they used to be.

There is going to be a ton of Super Bowl information.  The final tip is to pretty much ignore all of it.  There is so much hype and over-information that far too often you will get overwhelmed.  Base your decision on your feelings for the game and the basic factors you looked at to handicap regular season action.

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