To be exact there is a big difference between operating in the shadows and spotlight. Miami had a strong NFL betting finish to 2019. Following a terrible start that knocked them out by October. When nobody was looking the Dolphins rallied. Fans and gamblers bought into the hype. As a result, the Dolphins became a popular future pick for 2020. However, with the gambling community’s full attention Miami has wilted. Jacksonville has shown unexpected early value after two weeks. Jaguars quarterback Garner Minshew undersells and over-performs. To this end, Jacksonville may gain public betting support.
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
| Date and Time: | Thursday, September 24, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida |
| Dolphins at Jaguars TV Coverage: | NFL Network |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | +3 (-117) | 48 (-105) | +135 |  |
| Jaguars | -3 (-103) | 48 (-115) | -155 | |
| ||||
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars SBG Odds Overview
For many gamblers, the Dolphins epitomize sizzle over steak. Miami gets more online wagering hype than most teams. And it’s usually followed by red ink. Most important of all Ryan Fitzpatrick offers no public appeal. Masses see Fitzpatrick as a failed loser. And won’t bet on the Dolphins until Tua Tagovailoa takes over under center. Garner Minshew is admired by the masses. Starting with his 1970’s mod looks. And the fact that he can actually deliver results. Minshew became a folk hero last year. For all that the Jaguars bring more pluck than the Fish.
Miami Dolphins Team Overview
Now the Dolphins are 0-2 straight up, 1-1 against the spread, and 1-1 on totals. Miami lost their home opener to Buffalo on Sunday 31-28. But they did cover as 5.5-point dogs. Over the total paid at 42.5. Of major concern are terrible NFL metrics. Miami ranks 30th for total defense and 26th for points scored. All of the goodwill generated last December is gone with gamblers.
Jacksonville Jaguars Team Overview
Overall, the Jaguars are 1-1 straight up and 2-0 against the spread. Both of their games went over the total. Last week Jacksonville got the money in a 33-30 loss at Tennessee. Jaguars backers got them at +7 on the spread. Over a total of 44.5 paid as well. Minshew has thrown six TD passes with just two picks.
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Against the Spread
The Dolphins are:
- 5-3 against the spread as road dogs
- 3-4 under the total in their last seven games as a road dog
- 4-5 on the board head to head with the Jaguars
- 1-6 under the total in their series with Jacksonville
- 2-4 vs. the number at NFC South opponents
- 3-1 over the total on the at the NFC South
The Jaguars are:
- 4-1 against the spread when hosting AFC East opponents
- 5-2 over the total in their last seven home games with the AFC East
- 2-6 on the board in their last eight games as a home chalk
- 2-6 under the total when laying points at home
- 1-3 with the odds at home against the Dolphins
- 1-3 under the total at TIAA Bank Field vs. Miami
Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars SBG Free Picks
In this situation, the Dolphins’ defense inspires no confidence. Additionally, Jacksonville has the NFL betting edge at quarterback. Minshew completely outclasses Fitzpatrick. And then the Jacksonville price is right as well.
Dolphins at Jaguars SBG Best Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars