At the beginning of the season, the Chiefs were one of the most popular Pro Football betting picks to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City would have been in last year’s title game were it not for a close offsides call in the AFC championship against the Patriots. However, a 19-13 home loss to the Colts on Sunday Night Football exposed all of the Chief’s weaknesses. Houston is coming off its best performance of the season. The Texans blew apart the Falcons 53-32 in a long-awaited offensive explosion. Naturally, handicappers have new questions about both teams for Sunday’s matchup.
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
| Date and Time: | Sunday, October 13, 2019, 1 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri |
| Texans vs. Chiefs TV Coverage: | CBS |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +4½ (-110) | 55 (-110) | +192 |  |
| Chiefs | -4½ (-110) | 55 (-110) | -230 | |
| ||||
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Overview
Houston has sports betting record of 3-2 both straight up and with the line with three under. As a result, the Texans are tied with the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC South lead. Houston ranked ninth in the NFL for total offense and 10th for scoring. In the same way, the Texans defense ranks 12th for points allowed.
Now the Chiefs are 4-1 straight up, 3-2 with the odds, and 3-2 over the total. Kansas City ranks second in the NFL for total offense and fourth for scoring. Of great concern is a defense ranked 25th overall and 30th against the rush. Indianapolis abused KC with more physical play last week. It was not a championship look for the Chiefs.
Key Texans: QB Deshaun Watson (69% COMP, 1364 YDS, 8.6 AVG, 11 TD, 1 INT, 18 SACK, 115.9 RTG), RB Carlos Hyde (73 RSH, 310 YDS, 4.2 AVG, 2 TD), WR Will Fuller (28 REC, 400 YDS, 14.3 AVG, 3 TD). PK Ka’imi Fairbairn (5-7 FG, 14-17 XP)
Key Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes (65% COMP, 1831 YDS, 9.4 AVG, 11 TD, 0 INT, 7 SACK, 114.7 RTG), RB LeSean McCoy (40 ATT, 214 YDS, 5.3 AVG, 2 TD), TE Travis Kelce (28 REC, 439 YDS, 15.7 AVG, 1 TD), PK Harrison Butker (10-11 FG, 16-17 XP)
Houston vs. Kansas City against the spread
The Texans are:
- 5-1-2 against the spread on the road
- 5-3 over the total away from home
- 1-3 vs. the odds against the Chiefs
- 2-3 under the total head to head with Kansas City
- 4-1 on the board when at AFC West teams
- 1-4 under the total on the road at the AFC West
The Chiefs are:
- 3-5 against the spread at Arrowhead Stadium
- 4-2 over the total in their last six home games
- 2-7 on the board at Arrowhead against AFC South teams
- 1-9 under the total when hosting the AFC South
- 0-2 vs. the line when hosting the Texans
- 0-2 under the total at home against Houston
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pro Football Betting Picks
In this situation, the Texans should be the superior Pro Football Betting value. As was previously noted Houston gets the money on the road and at Kansas City. Furthermore, the Chiefs have been a poor betting value at Arrowhead.
Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Bets pick: Houston Texans
Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Bets Score Prediction: Texans 27, Chiefs 28