Naturally, we begin our Super Bowl Odds props with Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes over 29.5 Rushing Yards. Mahomes rushed 11 times for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns in the 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Bills. Also, he will be under more pressure in the Super Bowl from the Eagles’ elite defense and ferocious pass rush. Mahomes ability to improvise against a rigid defensive structure makes him the wild card for an Eagles defense designed to limit explosive plays. Mahomes has rushed for 44 (Eagles) and 66 yards (49ers) in winning the last two Super Bowls.
Super Bowl LIX Prop Bets Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
| Date and Time: | Sunday, February 9, 2025, 6:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
| TV Coverage: | FOX |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -1 -110 | 48½ -110 | -121 |  |
| Eagles | +1 -110 | 48½ -110 | +101 | |
| ||||
Quarterback Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles: 9.5 carries. In sum, Hurts recorded three online betting rushing touchdowns in Philadelphia’s win over the Commanders in the NFC Championship. He racked up 10 carries against Washington. But he finished with nine or fewer carries in five of his last seven games overall. Philadelphia’s signal-caller is also averaging only 7.7 carries per game during the 2025 NFL playoffs. Thus, the pick is under 9.5 total carries (+102)
Running back Isiah Pacheco, Kansas City Chiefs: 1.5 receptions. Pacheco missed several games due to injury this season. But he has been surprisingly effective as a pass catcher when he’s on the field. Consider that he caught both of his targets in Kansas City’s win over Buffalo in the AFC Championship. He averaged 1.7 receptions in seven appearances during the regular season. With Philadelphia boasting one of the league’s stingiest run defenses, Pacheco could be more involved in the passing game as a check-down option. The pick is over 1.5 receptions (+188).
Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, Kansas City Chiefs: 1.5 receptions. Hopkins is set to make his first NFL Betting appearance in the Super Bowl. In turn the veteran wideout could be a weapon with Philadelphia’s defense likely shadowing Travis Kelce. Hopkins has hauled in two or more catches in nine of his 11 games since being acquired by the Chiefs in the regular season. The pick is over 1.5 receptions (+126)
Additionally, another Eagles player prop, we note that TE Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards has spiked up from 46.5 to 50.5 yards. And even higher at some leading online sportsbooks. But his total receptions prop is holding steady at 4.5, and Sharp Football likes the value on over 4.5 receptions, and even more at +150 odds over 5.5 receptions.
Also, Chiefs TE Travis Kelce under 6.5 receptions. The Eagles ranked first in yards per target allowed to tight ends in the regular season, which is one reason why Kelce’s receiving yards prop is down from 64.5 to 60.5 yards at select sportsbooks. The Eagles faced the fifth-fewest TE targets and allowed the third-fewest TE receptions.
While Kelce has proven to be his best in the biggest games, this is not a good spot or matchup against the Eagles elite defense. Overall, Kelce has had 7 catches or more in eight of 18 games during the regular season. The most were against teams that allowed more yards and receptions to tight ends. Also consider under 5.5 receptions as available at better plus prices and odds (+125).
Namely, Jalen Hurts has several Super Bowl props: Anytime TD scorer (-110 or better) The fact that this is close to even-money is surprising. Despite concerns about his knee, Hurts scored three rushing TDs in the NFC Championship against Washington, including two on the tush-push maneuver near the goal line. In sum, Hurts now has 18 rushing TDs, including four in the postseason. Expect at least one more Brotherly Shove against the Chiefs. This is our top prop to bet for Super Bowl 59.
Saquon Barkley Super Bowl props: Longest rush Over 24.5 yards (-110 or better). Barkley is borderline unstoppable right now, and his penchant for big runs makes this number easily attainable. Correlate that he scored on a 60-yard TD run against the Commanders, the longest score of the conference championships. Also, Barkley scored the longest TD of the divisional round, a 78-yarder against the Rams, plus another one for 62 yards in that day’s 28-22 win.