Simple Super Bowl Odds Trends

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

Super Bowl odds have a number of trends to look at. Some of these trends are going to prove to be important while others will not.

Let’s take a look at some of the simpler ones that could apply to Super Bowl 44 betting. Super Bowl odds have the Colts favored by 5.5 points with a very high total of 56.5.  It is the highest total ever in Super Bowl odds.  Last year the Super Bowl odds total went over but three of the last four have gone under.

The average amount of points scored in the Super Bowl is 45.  That might point to an under but the Colts and Saints are high scoring teams that love to throw the ball so people are expecting an over in Super Bowl 44 betting. While the passing game gets a lot of attention since the Colts have Peyton Manning and the Saints have Drew Brees, the best running team is 17-12 in the last 29 Super Bowls.   When a Super Bowl has a total of 50 points or higher, the under is 4-2 vs. the Super Bowl odds.

It has become popular in Super Bowl odds to take the underdog on the money line.  Last year it didn’t work as the Cardinals covered the spread against Pittsburgh but lost the game outright.  Super Bowl underdogs outright are just 13-30.  Against the spread the underdogs are almost 50-50.

In Super Bowl odds history, teams making their first-ever appearance in the big game have not done well. They are just 4-15 straight up and 6-12-1 against the spread.  New Orleans is making their first-ever appearance this season.  Keep in mind though that last year the Cardinals were in their first Super Bowl and they covered the spread.

Since both teams can score, it makes sense to look at the score of the winning team.  When a team scores 32 points or more they are a perfect 18-0 in the Super Bowl.   The Saints averaged almost 32 points per game this season while the Colts averaged 26 points per game.

Some people will choose to bet a two-team parlay in Super Bowl 44 betting. History has shown that the favorite and the over has hit in nine of the last 29 Super Bowls. The underdog and the under has hit eight times in the last 29 games.

If you are looking at a simple Super Bowl prop in Super Bowl 44 betting you can start with the coin toss.  In nine of the last 12 Super Bowls, tails has been the winner in the coin toss.

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