When the Falcons and Saints meet it’s a matchup that is often the ultimate wild card. Consider when Atlanta scored a 26-9 upset win at New Orleans as 14-point dogs on November 10. Nobody gave the Dirty Birds a chance at Who Dat and yet they prevailed. Now the Saints will look to exact revenge in Atlanta on Thanksgiving night. Despite their recent uptick in play, the Falcons remain a poor defensive team. New Orleans should have ample opportunity to get the betting on NFL cover. Saints quarterback Drew Brees should be salivating at the thought of lighting up Atlanta.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
|Date and Time:||Thursday, November 28, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET|
|Location:||Mercedes Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia|
|New Orleans vs. Atlanta TV Coverage:||NBC|
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Overview
Atlanta has a sportsbook record of 3-8 straight up, 4-7 vs. the board with seven-under. Last week the Falcons lost at a bad Tampa Bay team 35-22. Atlanta has NFL metrics of 10th for total offense and 28th for points allowed. Of great concern is a Falcons pass defense ranked 27th in the NFL. That is not a promising combination against Brees and the Saints.
Counter to that is New Orleans at 9-2 straight up, 7-4 against the spread with six overs. Carolina lost at the Saints 34-31 on Sunday but covered as 10-point dogs. Overall New Orleans ranked ninth for scoring offense and 10th for total defense. The Saints can clinch the NFC South with a win in this one.
Key Saints: QB Drew Brees (75.7% COMP, 1607 YDS, 7.7 AVG, 11 TD, 5 INT, 9 SACKS, 106.6 RTG), RB Alvin Kamara (114 ATT, 526 YDS, 4.6 AVG, 1 TD), WR Michael Thomas (104 REC, 1242 YDS, 11.9 AVG, 6 TD), DE Cameron Jordan (38 TACKLES, 9.5 SACKS), PK Will Lutz (23-27 FG, 27-28 XP)
Key Falcons: QB Matt Ryan (67% COMP, 2934 YDS, 7.4 AVG, 18 TD, 10 INT, 29 SACKS, 93.3 RTG), RB Devonta Freeman (107 ATT, 371 YDS, 3.5 AVG, 0 TD), WR Julio Jones (64 REC, 950 YDS, 14.8 AVG, 4 TD), DT Grady Jarrett (49 TACKLES, 5.5 SACKS), PK Younghoe Koo (10-11 FG, 5-5 XP)
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Against the spread
The Saints are:
- 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 away games
- 4-8 under the total on the road
- 5-6 on the board in their last 11 away games vs. the Falcons
- 3-7 under the total head to head in Atlanta
The Falcons are:
- 4-7 against the spread in their last 11 home games
- 1-7 under the total at Mercedes Benz Stadium
- 3-6 vs. the odds in their head to head series with the Saints
- 1-4 under the total vs. New Orleans
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Bet on NFL Picks
On the whole, it’s hard to imagine the Falcons beating the Saints twice in one month. Atlanta ambushed the Saints for one of the biggest Betting on NFL upsets of the season so far. It’s looking like payback time for New Orleans on Thursday night.
Saints vs. Falcons Bet on NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints
Saints vs. Falcons Bet on NFL Score Prediction: Saints 38, Falcons 17