Resurgent Texans Thursday NFL Betting Favorites vs. Slumping Dolphins

Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans

At the beginning of the NFL season the Dolphins were the talk of the league.  In fact, Miami won and covered their first three games.  Alternatively, they were touted as ready to unseat New England in the AFC East.  But a 38-7 road annihilation at the hands of the Patriots sobered everyone up.  Since that NFL betting debacle Miami has lost three of their last four.  Additionally, their metrics are indicative of a team in decline.  Not to mention a fraudulent pretender.  Meanwhile Houston is one of the hottest teams in the NFL. And leader of the AFC South!

Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans     

Date and Time: Thursday, October 25, 2018, 8:20 p.m. ET

Location:  NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

NFL Betting Online Odds at SBG:

TeamSpreadTotal
Dolphins+7½ (-115)44½ (-105)
Texans-7½ (-105)44½ (-115)
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Dolphins vs. Texans TV Coverage:  FOX

Houston Texans     

After all their misery starting the season at 0-3 the Texans were written off for dead.  Above all head coach Bill O’Brien was considered not for long with his job.  It turn, Houston has rallied with four consecutive wins to take the AFC South Division lead. Last week the Texans scored a 20-7 win and cover at Jacksonville.  Overall Houston is 4-3 straight up although 2-5 vs. the line.  Subsequently five of their games have gone under the total.  In view of this defense has been the key to the Texans rebound.

Important Names to Consider

Houston’s defense ranks eight in the NFL for points allowed.  And after a slow start quarterback Deshaun Watson has picked up the pace.  In addition, receiver DeAndre Hopkins has provided a breakaway threat with 13 catches of 20 or more yards.

Miami Dolphins

Miami is 4-3 both straight up and against the board.  But the Dolphins have failed to pay in three of their last four games.  Last Sunday the Dolphins lost at home to Detroit 32-21.  In brief Miami ranks 27th in the NFL for both total offense and defense. Consistent with the Dolphins misery is the shoulder injury to quarterback Ryan Tannehill.  He remains out of the lineup for this week.

Stats to Consider

Miami has been a terrible NFL betting value as a road dog recently.  For example, the Dolphins have failed to cover seven of their last eight in that situation.  And their last four as away dogs stayed under the total.  Balanced against that is Houston’s weak betting value as a home chalk.  Consider the Texans have paid in just three of their last 11 laying points at NRG Stadium.  Three of Houston’s last five as a home favorite stayed under the total.

Team vs. Team

Houston has had the offshore betting edge in their series with Miami.  Hence the Texans have paid out in three of their last four with the Dolphins.  However, at NRG Stadium the Dolphins have covered two of their last three visits.  So too has three of the last four between these teams at Houston gone over the total.

Matchup to Watch

Namely the injury to Tannehill has caused a major drop in NFL betting value for the Dolphins.  Equally important is their drop in defensive production.  Along the same lines Houston has strong momentum.

Dolphins vs. Texans NFL Betting Odds Pick

Increasingly doubts are mounting about Miami’s actual ability.  In contrast faith is being restored with gamblers on Houston.

Dolphins vs. Texans NFL Betting Online Pick: Houston Texans

Dolphins vs. Texans NFL Betting Online Score Prediction:  Texans 27, Dolphins 17

Check out highlights of the Texans win over the Jaguars!

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