Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers Pro Football Betting Picks

Public Sees Chiefs and 49ers as Super Bowl LIV Betting Equals

January 28th, 2020 NFL Football, Sportsbook

At the onset of Super Bowl betting it was quickly apparent that gamblers weren’t stepping out on anyone’s side. The Chiefs and 49ers are getting almost equal wagering support with Kansas City starting the week as 1.5-point chalk. Bettors love Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes as a man that literally take over a game. The 2018 NFL Most Valuable Player is a relentless player and leader. Counter to that is a 49ers team that appears to be more complete. San Francisco may not be as dynamic as Kansas City but is perhaps more solid.

Super Bowl LIV: Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers

Date and Time:Sunday, February 2, 2020, 6:30 p.m.
Location:Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
Chiefs vs. 49ers TV Coverage:FOX
Super Bowl LIV Betting Online Odds at SBG:
TeamSpreadTotalML
49ers+1 (-110)54½ (-110)EV
Chiefs-1 (-110)54½ (-110)-120
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl LIV Overview

Kansas City has a sportsbook record of 12-4 straight up, 10-5-1 vs. the line and 8-8 on totals. Overall metrics have the Chiefs fifth for scoring offense and seventh for points allowed.

By contrast, San Francisco is 13-3 straight up, 9-6-1 against the spread and 8-7-1 over the total. The 49ers rank second in the NFL for scoring offense and eight for points allowed.

Key Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes (65.9% COMP, 4031 YDS, 8.3 AVG, 26 TD, 5 INT, 17 SACKS, 105.3 RTG), RB Damien Williams (111 ATT, 498 YDS, 4.5 AVG, 5 TD), TE Travis Kelce (97 REC, 1229 YDS, 12.7 AVG, 5 TD), S Tyrann Mathieu (75 TACKLES, 2 SACKS, 4 INT), PK Harrison Butker (34-38 FG, 45-48 XP)

Key 49ers: QB Jimmy Garoppolo (69.1% COMP, 3978 YDS, 8.4 AVG, 27 TD, 13 INT, 36 SACK, 102.0 RTG), RB Raheem Mostert (137 ATT, 772 YDS, 5.6 AVG, 8 TD), TE George Kittle (85 REC, 1053 YDS, 12.4 AVG, 5 TD), DE DeForest Buckner (62 TACKLES, 7.5 SACKS, 3 INT, 1 TD), PK Robbie Gould (23-31 FG, 41-42 XP)

Kansas City vs. San Francisco Against the Spread

The Chiefs are:

  • 3-1 against the spread in their last four postseason games
  • 5-4 over the total in the postseason
  • 8-1 on the board in their last nine games as a chalk
  • 4-5 under the total when laying points
  • 6-2 vs. the odds head to head against the 49ers
  • 3-1 over the total head to head with San Francisco

The 49ers are:

  • 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight postseason games
  • 1-4 under the total in postseason
  • 7-2 vs. the number in their last nine games as a dog
  • 2-3 under the total when getting points
  • 0-2 on the board in their last two games as a dog vs. the Chiefs
  • 2-0 over the total when getting points vs. Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers Pro Football Betting Picks

In this situation, Kansas City holds the Super Bowl Betting with Patrick Mahomes. To be exact he is a rare generational player. Not to mention a force of nature that can never be counted out. Certainly, San Francisco merits respect for being a complete and fundamentally sound NFC champion. But Mahomes trumps that. Too many times the Super Bowl is over analyzed. This year it’s simple. On the whole, Mahomes is the difference.

Chiefs vs. 49ers NFL Bets pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs vs. 49ers NFL Bets Score Prediction: Chiefs 34, 49ers 20

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