At the beginning of the season, the Chiefs and Patriots were picked to repeat and meet for the AFC Championship. Kansas City should have beaten New England in last year’s AFC Championship game. To be exact a close offsides call overturned a game-clinching interception by the Chiefs. So far this year New England has been winning like normal. But a deeper look reveals legitimate NFL betting Concerns about quarterback Tom Brady and the passing game. Counter to that is a Kansas City team still trying to find a defense. 2018 NFL MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes needs more support.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots
|Date and Time:||Sunday, December 8, 2019, 4:25 p.m. ET|
|Location:||Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts|
|Chiefs vs. Patriots TV Coverage:||CBS|
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Overview
Now, New England has a sports betting Record of 10-2 straight, 7-5 on the board and eight under. Sunday saw the Patriots lose at the Texans 28-22. NFL metrics have New England ranked 14th for total offense and first for points allowed. Of great concern is the decline in the production of quarterback Tom Brady. New England has dropped two of their last four straight up with just one cover. As a result, their AFC East lead is down to one game.
Kansas City is 8-4 straight up, 7-5 vs. the odds, and 7-5 over the total. Last week the Chiefs blew out the Raiders in a 40-9 home payout. Chiefs metrics include third for scoring offense and 16th for points allowed. Following a slump, KC has won three of their last four. The first place by two games is the Chief’s perch.
Key Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes (64.5% COMP, 2983 YDS, 8.5 AVG, 20 TD, 2 INT, 12 SACK, 107.7 RTG), RB LeSean McCoy (84 ATT, 410 YDS, 4.9 AVG, 4 TD), TE Travis Kelce (68 REC, 923 YDS, 13.6 AVG, 4 TD), LB Anthony Hitchens (66 TACKLES, 2 SACKS), PK Harrison Butker (25-29 FG, 37-39 XP)
Key Patriots: QB Tom Brady (61,1% COMP, 3268 YDS, 6.7 AVG, 18 TD, 6 INT, 21 SACK, 88.2 RTG), RB Sony Michel (184 ATT, 645 YDS, 3.5 AVG, 6B TD), WR Julian Edelman (82 REC, 915 YDS, 11.2 AVG, 5 TD), LB Jamie Collins Sr (61 TACKLES, 6 SACK, 3 INT, 1 TD)
Kansas City and New England with the Line
The Chiefs are:
- 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 away games
- 8-3 over the total on the road
- 4-2 vs. the odds in their last six games against the Patriots at Gillette Stadium
- 3-0 over the total in their last three games at New England
The Patriots are:
- 15-5 against the spread in their last 20 home games
- 3-7 under the total at Gillette Stadium
- 3-5 on the board in their last eight games vs. Kansas City
- 5-0 over the total head to head in their series with the Chiefs
Chiefs vs. Patriots NFL Betting Picks
In this situation, the Chiefs are a quality NFL betting dog with full throttle capability. As was previously noted Kansas City has been a reliable value on the road and at Gillette Stadium.
Chiefs vs. Patriots NFL Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs vs. Patriots NFL Betting Score Prediction: Chiefs 27, Patriots 24