Compared to most years the Bills are having a dream season for NFL bets. Buffalo is the surprise of the NFL with a rugged defense and opportunistic offense. Correspondingly the have begun to catch the attention of gamblers as a quality team. Of course, everyone respects the Patriots as a perennial power and defending Super Bowl champion. New England has struggled a lot in the past month as their lack of explosive playmakers looks like a real problem. Beyond that, the retirement of the Gronk has served to keep defenses less honest. Sharks smell blood in the water.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
| Date and Time: | Saturday, December 21, 2019, 4:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts |
| Bills vs. Patriots TV Coverage: | NFL Network |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +6 (-105) | 38½ (-110) | +234 |  |
| Patriots | -6 (-115) | 38½ (-110) | -285 | |
| ||||
Buffalo Bills Vs. New England Patriots Overview
Upstart Buffalo has an online wagering record of 10-4 straight up, 9-4-1 vs. the odds and 3-11 under the total. Last week the Bills scored a landmark signature 17-10 win at Pittsburgh on NBC Sunday Night Football. Buffalo has NFL metrics of 22nd for scoring offense but second for points allowed.
New England is 11-3 straight up, 8-6 vs. the odds, and 5-9 under the total. Overall the Pats rank seventh for scoring offense and first for points allowed. New England leads Buffalo by a single game in the AFC East.
Key Bills: QB Josh Allen (59.3% COMP, 2876 YDS, 6.7 AVG, 18 TD, 9 INT, 34 SACK, 84.6 RTG), RB Devin Singleton (136 ATT, 729 YDS, 5.4 AVG, 2 TD), WR John Brown (71 REC, 1007 YDS, 14.2 AVG, 5 TD), DT Jordan Phillips (26 TACKLES, 9.5 SACKS), PK Stephen Hauschka (19-25 FG, 28-30 XP)
Key Patriots: QB Tom Brady (60.1% COMP, 3565 YDS, 6.5 AVG, 21 TD, 7 INT, 26 SACK, 86.5 RTG), RB Sony Michel (208 ATT, 742 YDS, 3.6 AVG, 6 TD), WR Julian Edelman (92 REC, 1019 YDS, 11.1 AVG, 6 TD), LB Jamie Collins Sr (72 TACKLES, 6 SACKS), PK Nick Folk (10-13 FG, 8-8 FG)
Buffalo and New England Against the Spread
The Bills Are:
- 6-1-1 vs. the line in their last eight away games
- 1-7 under the total on the road
- 5-1 on the board in away games vs. the AFC East
- 2-4 under the total when playing at AFC East teams
- 4-7-1 against the spread in their head to head series with New England
- 2-6 under the total in their last eight games with the Patriots
The Patriots Are:
- 7-5 with the odds in their last 12 home games
- 3-8 under the total when playing at home
- 8-3-2 against the spread in their last 13 AFC East games at Gillette Stadium
- 1-4 under the total when playing at home vs. the AFC East
- 3-6-1 on the board at Gillette Stadium against the Bills
- 1-4 under the total when hosting Buffalo
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots NFL Bets Picks
In this situation, the NFL Bets line seems to be public influenced and based on the past. Buffalos defense should keep the lethargic Patriots offense in check. Buffalo is for real.
Bills vs. Patriots NFL Bet Pick: Buffalo Bills
Bills vs. Patriots NFL Bets Score Prediction: Bills 20, Patriots 17