Packers Considered Rare Pro Football Betting Dogs at New England

November 2nd, 2018 NFL Football, Sportsbook

A clear difference is taking place with Green Bay this year.  Once a perennial  Pro Football betting favorite the Packers are now touchdown dogs at New England.  In fact, the Packers are struggling to maintain a .500 record despite improved metrics off last year.  It’s also disturbing because quarterback Aaron Rodgers is back under center after missing much of 2017.  Contrarily New England its in its usual perch of first place in the AFC East.  Of great concern for the Patriots is an inconsistent defense that was a culprit in their Super Bowl loss.

Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots

Date and Time:  Sunday November 4, 2018, 8:20 p.m. ETgracias

Location:  Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Pro Football Betting odds at SBG:

Packers+5½ (-105)56½ (-110)
Patriots-5½ (-115)56½ (-110)
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Packers vs. Patriots TV Coverage:  NBC

New England Patriots

New England has a Pro Football betting record of 6-2 straight up and 5-3 vs. the line with a 4-4 split on totals. Last week the Patriots scored a 25-6 payout at Buffalo for a second consecutive payout.  New England ranks fourth in the NFL for scoring offense and 12th for scoring defense.  Owing to quarterback Tom Brady is much of the Patriots success.  Consider Brady’s 97.6 rating with 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions.  Definitely momentum is increasing with four payouts in the Pats last five games.  Granted, once again the media that wrote off New England is wrong.

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay has a sportsbook online record of 3-3-1 straight up and 3-4 against the board with five games going over the total.   Correspondingly the Packers are coming off a 29-27 loss at the Rams as nine-point dogs.  As a result, the Pack is third in the NFC North behind Chicago and Minnesota.  On the whole Green Bay ranks fifth in the NFL for total offense but 17th for scoring defense.  Four of the last five Packer games have cleared the total.  In addition, Green Bay has failed to get the cash in three of their last four.

Stats to Consider

Green Bay has seen a drop in their betting value as a road dog.  For example, the Pack has failed to cover five of their last nine getting points away from home.  Further, 11 of their last 13 as road pups have gone over the total.  Balanced against that is New England’s strong profitability as a home chalk.  The Patriots have paid in nine of their last 11 laying points at Gillette Stadium.  Three of their last five in that situation have gone under the total.

Team vs. Team

Green Bay has owned the cashier’s cage in their series with New England.  To show, the Pats have paid in just one of their last eight against the Packers.  Four of the last five between these teams have gone under the total.  Consistent with that is Green Bay’s four consecutive payouts at New England.  Three of those four games went under the number.

Matchup to Watch

As was previously noted New England is a superb Pro Football betting value as a home chalk.  Counter to that is Green Bay’s decline in reliability as a road dog.  In view of that matchup difference the Pats rate superior.

Packers vs. Patriots Pro Football Betting Picks

New England is in the better form and is the call!

Packers vs, Patriots Pro Football Betting Pick:  New England Patriots

Packers vs. Patriots Pro Football Betting Score Prediction:  Patriots 31, Packers 20

Catch highlights of the Patriots win over Buffalo!

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