NFL Wagering Online: Saints Heavily Favored at Home vs. Browns

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

There is not much doubt that the public is going to take in NFL wagering online when the New Orleans Saints host the Cleveland Browns.

Bettors are going to lay the points and make an NFL bet on the Saints. Whether or not they can cover is the question.  The Saints are 13.5 point favorites at Sbg global.

Any Reason to Take Cleveland?  Is there any reason to take the Browns in this game?  They are likely going to start rookie Colt McCoy again at quarterback and that is not necessarily bad news. McCoy played pretty well last week even though Cleveland lost at Pittsburgh.  The problem for the Browns is that they have to find a way to slow down a New Orleans offense that finally looked good last week in a win over Tampa Bay.  If McCoy can play well then perhaps the Browns can sneak under the number but not many bettors are going to be taking them.

Drew Brees and the Saints – Last week the Saints finally looked like the defending Super Bowl champs.  It doesn’t seem likely that the Browns will be able to contain Brees and the New Orleans offense.

Hope for the Browns – You might laugh but there is hope for the Browns to cover this game against the spread. They are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in October. The Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

New Orleans No Bargain at Home – The Saints are the defending champs and their offense gets a lot of attention but they have not been making you money.  The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and they usually don’t get up for inferior opponents as they are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Total Trends – The Browns seem to go under more often than not while the Saints go over but New Orleans is just 3-3 against the NFL wagering online total this season.  The Over is 17-8-1 in the Saints last 26 home games.  And the Browns have actually gone over in half of their games so they don’t always go under like you think they would.

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