New England Patriots at Miami NFL Betting

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

NFL betting favors the New England Patriots in their AFC East game on Sunday against the Miami Dolphins.

Both teams will be trying to bounce back from bad losses a week ago in pro football betting. The Patriots were routed by New Orleans while New England gave up 24 fourth quarter points to lose to Buffalo.

NFL betting has New England a 4.5 point favorite in this game with a total of 46.  Both defenses were exposed last week as the Patriots couldn’t stop New Orleans while Miami let Ryan Fitzpatrick throw for 246 yards while Fred Jackson ran for 116 yards.  The offenses for both teams have players that can impact NFL betting, particularly New England who has Tom Brady to go along with wide receivers Randy Moss and Wes Welker. The Dolphins have running back Ricky Williams who played well last week in the NFL betting loss to the Bills.  The Patriots have Laurence Maroney running the ball and he has scored a TD in six straight games.

Miami’s Ricky Williams has rushed for 792 yards this season and has gone over 100 yards in three straight games. The Dolphins are third in the league in rushing with 156.1 yards per game.

New England won the first NFL betting matchup between the two teams this season 27-17 in Week 9. In that game, Tom Brady threw for 332 yards.  Moss and Welker combined for 231 yards. Last season the road team won both NFL betting meetings between the two teams.  New England won 48-28 at Miami late last season.

New England normally handles losing teams in NFL betting. They are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. They are also solid on the road in pro football betting. The Patriots are 18-7 in pro football betting in their last 25 games as a road favorite. The road team in this NFL betting series is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Miami has been a good team getting points in NFL betting. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. The problem for Miami has been their home record in NFL betting. The Dolphins are 14-37-1 in pro football betting in their last 52 home games.

The NFL betting total trends show that five of the last six New England road games have gone under.   Conversely, the last five Miami home games have all gone over the pro football betting total.

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