Love him or hate him, Jim Harbaugh is one of the greatest coaches in football. Consider that Harbaugh is taking the Los Angeles Chargers to their second consecutive playoff appearance. Not since 2009 have the Chargers enjoyed consecutive playoff campaigns. This season, Harbaugh turned in one of the most masterful coaching jobs of his career. Few teams were more injury-ravaged than Los Angeles, yet the Chargers powered through that shorthanded lineup to finish 11-6 and in the AFC playoffs.
Last year, the New England Patriots posted an NFL odds record of 4-13 for the second consecutive season. In desperation, New England hired Mike Vrabel as head coach. Vrabel flipped the script, taking New England to the AFC East championship with a 14-3 record. Most important of all, Vrabel’s Patriots turned a nice profit for gamblers. NBC Sunday Night Football is always a strong betting attraction. Additionally, this is a playoff game, and you can expect strong traffic at the betting windows.
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots
| Date and Time: | Sunday, January 11, 2026, 8 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA |
| TV Coverage: | NBC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +3½(-110) | 46 (-110) | +165 |  |
| Patriots | -3½(-110) | 46 (-110) | -195 | |
| ||||
Chargers at Patriots Betting Odds Overview
Oddsmakers opened with New England as a 3.5-point favorite and Los Angeles as a 3.5-point dog. New England is a -198 moneyline favorite against Los Angeles, which is a +164 moneyline dog. New England and Los Angeles opened with an over/under total of 46.5.
Sharps are looking at the Chargers and the more favorable road team price. In comparison, the casual sector is mesmerized by the Patriots’ record and home field.
Los Angeles Chargers Team Overview
Last game, the Los Angeles Chargers lost 19-3 against the Denver Broncos as 15-point road dogs in a meaningless game and with a lineup of reserves. The game went under the Sports betting total of 37.5. As a result, Los Angeles is 11-6 straight up, 8-8-1 against the spread, and 6-10 over/under the total. Los Angeles has failed to cover its most recent two games. The Chargers went under the total in their last two matchups.
Overall, Los Angeles ranks 12th for total offense, 18th for passing, 13th for rushing, 20th for scoring, and 19th for fewest turnovers committed. Los Angeles ranks 5th for total defense, 5th vs. the pass, 8th vs. the rush, 9th for fewest points allowed, and 4th for takeaways.
New England Patriots Team Overview
Last game, the New England Patriots won 38-10 against the Miami Dolphins as 14.5-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 44. As a result, New England is 14-3 straight up, 11-6 against the spread, and 11-6 over/under the NFL Football Betting total. Lately, New England has covered its most recent three games. The Patriots went over the total in their most recent five matchups.
In sum, New England ranks 3rd for total offense, 4th for passing, 6th for rushing, 2nd for scoring, and 10th for fewest turnovers committed. New England ranks 8th for total defense, 9th vs. the pass, 6th vs. the rush, 4th for fewest points allowed, and 20th for takeaways.
Chargers at Patriots Betting Trends
The Chargers went under the total in four of their last five games. Los Angeles covered the spread in only two of its last seven road games. Also, the Chargers are 1-4 against the spread in January.
New England is 13-1 straight up in their last 14 games. New England went over the total in six of their last seven home games. Correlate that New England went over the total in eight of their last nine January games.
The Patriots got the money in seven of their last nine games against the Chargers. New England won seven of their last nine games with Los Angeles straight up.
Overall, New England is 12-3 straight up against LA.
Chargers at Patriots SBG Free Picks
In this situation, the Chargers are a compelling and capable NFL Betting underdog. Although the Patriots had a fantastic turnaround season, the playoffs are a different beast, and the Chargers have more experience in that role, as does Harbaugh.
Chargers at Patriots SBG Best Bets:
Los Angeles Chargers and Under the Total.