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SBGGlobal.eu » NFL Football Betting Online Odds » Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Analysis & Picks (11/16/2025)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Analysis & Picks (11/16/2025)

Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL Betting Analysis & Picks (11-16-2025)

Since 2016, the AFC West Division has been the Chiefs’ exclusive territory. However, the Chiefs are likely to have to settle for a wild-card playoff spot. The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers are leading the division, and the Chiefs have not had the consistency to stay at the top. At the onset of the betting on NFL future market, Denver and the Chargers were seen by the betting public as serious threats to the Kansas City dynasty. On Sunday, the Broncos host the Chiefs with an opportunity for a body blow to KC.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Information

Date and Time:Sunday, November 16, 2025, 4:25 p.m. ET
Location:Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
TV Coverage:CBS
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Chiefs-4 ( -113 )44½ ( -105 )-205Bet Now on this Game
Broncos+4 ( -107 )44½ ( -115 )+177
Bet Now on this Game

Chiefs at Broncos Betting Odds Analysis

Of course, the Chiefs remain one of the most respected brands on the board. Too many fans and gamblers have made too much money on the Chiefs. Of great concern is the Chiefs’ inconsistency.

Although the Broncos have a strong straight-up record, they are not dominating the payout window. Denver has yet to demonstrate the wagering value necessary to earn the trust of gamblers fully. Additionally, the Broncos will not get a favorable price at home. In fact, Denver is likely going to be overpriced.

Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview

Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost 28-21 against the Buffalo Bills as 2.5-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 52.5. As a result, Kansas City is 5-4 straight up, 5-4 against the spread, and 3-6 over/under the online betting total. Kansas City is in 3rd place in the AFC West Division and in a tiebreaker for the final AFC wild-card playoff spot.

Kansas City ranks 8th for total offense, 5th for passing, 14th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 4th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Kansas City ranks 6th in total defense, 7th vs. the pass, 12th vs. the rush, 4th in fewest points allowed, and 18th in takeaways.

Denver Broncos Team Overview

Last game, the Denver Broncos won 10-7 against the Las Vegas Raiders as 8.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 42.5. Now, Denver is 8-2 straight up, 4-5-1 against the spread, and 3-7 over/under the NFL Betting total. Denver leads the AFC West Division by one game over the Los Angeles Chargers.

Overall, Denver ranks 15th for total offense, 19th for passing, 10th for rushing, 17th for scoring, and 22nd for fewest turnovers committed. Denver ranks 3rd for total defense, 5th vs. the pass, 6th vs. the rush, 3rd for fewest points allowed, and 25th for takeaways.

Chiefs at Broncos Betting Trends

Kansas City has become a poor betting value on the road. To show, the Chiefs covered the spread in only three of their last 11 away games. Kansas City went over the total in only five of its last 15 road tilts.

Denver has been an increasingly good betting value at home. To illustrate, the Broncos covered the spread in 12 of their most recent 18 home games. Denver went over the total in only two of its last six home games.

In the series between the Chiefs and Broncos, Denver has covered the spread in six of the most recent seven meetings. The Chiefs and Broncos went under the total in six of their last nine meetings.

Specifically in Denver, the Broncos got the money in four straight games against the Chiefs. Kansas City and Denver went under the total in four of their last seven games at Denver.

Chiefs at Broncos SBG Free Picks

Although Denver is likely to be overpriced, everything points to the Broncos. In this Betting on NFL situation, Denver has been in better form. As mentioned earlier, all of the situational trends favor Denver.

Chiefs at Broncos SBG Best Bet: Denver Broncos.

Patrick Jones

Published on: November 14, 2025
Last updated: November 12, 2025

NFL Football, Online Betting
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