The Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions have controlled Thanksgiving Day football access for several generations. On Thursday, the Cowboys will continue the tradition by hosting the defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs. Although both teams are struggling with the NFL betting odds they remain legacy franchise brands. The Chiefs’ dynasty is beginning to crumble. Since 2015, the Chiefs have made the NFL Playoffs every season with three Super Bowl championships and two more Super Sunday appearances. However, the Chiefs, like the Cowboys, are looking doubtful for 2025. Dallas owner Jerry Jones’ dream of a final Super Bowl is fading.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Thursday, November 27, 2025, 4:30 p.m. ET. |
|---|---|
| Location: | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX |
| TV Coverage: | CBS |
Chiefs at Cowboys Betting Odds Analysis
Although the Cowboys are dreadful, they remain America’s team. That moniker was born in 1978 and lives on. The Dallas brand is too big to ignore, justifiable or not. Thus, Dallas will draw massive betting action from squares for a home Thanksgiving game.
In like manner, the Chiefs are the most successful franchise of the past decade. And they offer the star power of Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and Travis Kelce. But those stars are fading and no longer so bright. Last year the Chiefs were routed in an embarrassing Super Bowl loss that served as a portent.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs beat the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in overtime as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 50. As a result, Kansas City is 6-5 straight up, 5-6 against the spread, and 3-8 over/under the offshore betting total.
Kansas City ranks 5th for total offense, 2nd for passing, 15th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 6th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Kansas City ranks 5th in total defense, 8th vs. the pass, 8th vs. the rush, 4th in fewest points allowed, and 24th in takeaways.
Late on, Kansas City has covered one out of its most recent four games. Kansas City went under the total in six of its last six matchups.
Dallas Cowboys Team Overview
Last game, the Dallas Cowboys won 24-21 against the Philadelphia Eagles as 3-point home dogs. The game went under the total of 48. Now, Dallas is 5-5-1 straight up, 6-5 against the spread, and 7-4 over/under the NFL Football Betting
total.
Overall, Dallas ranks 1st for total offense, 1st for passing, 14th for rushing, 4th for scoring, and 19th for fewest turnovers committed. Dallas ranks 29th for total defense, 30th vs. the pass, 22nd vs. rush, 31st for fewest points allowed, and 25th for takeaways.
Late on, Dallas has covered two out of its most recent two games. Dallas went under the total in one of its last three matchups.
Chiefs at Cowboys Betting Trends
Late on the Chiefs have been a horrible betting value on the road. Kansas City covered the spread in only one of its last seven away games. The Chiefs went under the total in six of their most recent nine away games.
On the other hand, Dallas has been a surprisingly good betting value at home. The Cowboys got the cash in five of their last eight games at Jerry World. Dallas went over the total in 14 of their last 20 home games.
In the series between Kansas City and Dallas, the Chiefs covered the spread in only three of the last nine meetings. KC and Dallas went under the total in six of those games.
Specifically in Dallas, the Chiefs failed to get the money on their last four visits. Three of those four games went under the total.
Chiefs at Cowboys SBG Free Picks
As mentioned earlier, Dallas has the Pro Football Bets advantage across all pertinent trends. Kansas City is not what it used to be. Additionally, the total will be overvalued given the Chiefs’ offense’s reputation and the Cowboys’ weak defense. Thus, the under could sneak through on a contrarian bet.
Chiefs at Cowboys SBG Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys and Under the Total.

