The Kansas City Chiefs present an interesting NFL odds dilemma to gamblers. Of course, Kansas City has the ultimate asset in QB Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is the closest thing possible to a 1-man NFL team. He can dominate a game like a basketball star. However, offsetting that is a team that is often sloppy, knowing that Mahomes will bail them out. Except it doesn’t always turn out that way. Last year in the AFC championship game, Mahomes ran out of tricks in a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. Now KC faces an upstart Jacksonville team.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Saturday, January 21, 2023, 3:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri |
| TV Coverage: | NBC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | +8½ (-110) | 52 (-110) | +345 |  |
| Chiefs | -8½ (-110) | 52 (-110) | -445 | |
| ||||
Jaguars at Chiefs SBG Odds Overview
In this situation, the Chiefs bring championship credentials to the sportsbook board. Kansas City is battle-tested in a way that Jacksonville is not.
Jacksonville Jaguars Team Overview
Last Saturday night, the Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Los Angeles Chargers 31-30 as 2-point home dogs. The game went over the total of 46.5. Now, Jacksonville has a record of 9-8 straight up, 8-8-1 against the spread, and 8-9 over/under the total.
Jacksonville has NFL metrics of 10th for total offense, 10th for passing, 14th for rushing, and 10th for scoring. While defensively, they are 24th overall, 28th against the pass, 12th against the rush, and 12th for points allowed. Jacksonville ranks 16th for the fewest turnovers lost and 5th for takeaways.
Jaguars have emerged as the Cinderella darlings of the 2022 NFL Playoffs. Jacksonville rallied from the dead to overtake the Tennessee Titans to win the AFC South. Last week their wild card win over the Los Angeles Chargers was one for the ages. First year head coach Doug Pederson has proven the value of a real professional head coach. Especially after the amateur hour flop of Urban Meyer in 2021. Most important of all, QB Trevor Lawrence has proven why he deserved to be the top pick of the 2021 NFL Draft.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview
Last game, the Kanas City Chiefs won 31-13 against the Las Vegas Raiders as 9-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 51. Kansas City has a record of 14-3 straight up, 5-11-1 against the spread, and 8-9 over/under the total.
Kansas City has NFL metrics of 1st for total offense, 1st for passing, 20th for rushing, and 1st for scoring. While on defense, they are 11th overall, 18th against the pass, 8th against the rush, and 16th for points allowed. Kansas City ranks 24th for fewest turnovers lost and 24th for takeaways.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the most dangerous weapon in football with QB Patrick Mahomes. Hence that makes for both an asset and a liability. The Chiefs often take large portions of a game off, knowing that Mahomes will rally them in the end. But that formula has its flaws. Kansas City was caught off guard last year in a devastating AFC championship game home loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.
In turn, there has been more of the same. And the Chiefs’ defense reminds nobody of the famed Redwood Forest that led the franchise to its first Super Bowl championship. Some sharps fear that Kansas City, while quite good, is overpriced.
Jaguars at Chiefs SBG Free Picks
It is true that the Chiefs are an expensive pick with the NFL betting odds. But they are the better and more proven team.
Jaguars at Chiefs SBG Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs.