The 2025 season has hit the stretch run to the NFL Playoffs. Two teams on the bubble will meet in Kansas City on Sunday night. Previously, the Houston Texans were the dominant team in the AFC South. However, the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars have reached Houston’s level. Now the Texans face the distinct betting on NFL possibility of missing the playoffs. So, too, are the Kansas City Chiefs facing the end of their dynasty. Thus, Sunday night’s showdown is between two teams with no margin for error. The loser will be facing a potentially fatal blow.
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Sunday, December 7, 2025, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV Coverage: | NBC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +3 ( EV ) | 42 ( -105 ) | +163 |  |
| Chiefs | -3 ( -120 ) | 42 ( -115 ) | -190 | |
| ||||
Texans at Chiefs Betting Odds Analysis
Anytime NBC Sunday Night Football has the Kansas City Chiefs on the marquee that means ratings and significant betting traffic. Especially in a matchup with NFL Playoff implications, the Texans and Chiefs will have gamblers lining up for action and live betting.
The Houston Texans rely on one of the best defenses in the NFL to cover for a subpar offense. The Chiefs have more offense than Houston and boast a comparable defense.
Houston Texans Team Overview
Last game, the Houston Texans won 20-16 against the Indianapolis Colts as 3-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 44. As a result, Houston is 7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 3-8-1 over/under the offshore betting total.
Houston ranks 20th for total offense, 18th for passing, 24th for rushing, 22nd for scoring, and 7th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Houston ranks 1st in total defense, 3rd vs. the pass, 4th vs. the rush, 1st in fewest points allowed, and 7th in takeaways.
Late on, Houston has covered two out of its most recent two games. Houston went under the total in three of its last three matchups.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost 31-28 against the Dallas Cowboys as 3.5-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 53. Now, Kansas City is 6-6 straight up, 5-7 against the spread, and 4-8 over/under the NFL Betting
total.
Overall, Kansas City ranks 3rd for total offense, 2nd for passing, 10th for rushing, 9th for scoring, and 4th for fewest turnovers committed. Kansas City ranks 17th for total defense, 19th vs. the pass, 14th vs. the rush, 5th for fewest points allowed, and 23rd for takeaways.
Late on, Kansas City failed to cover its most recent four games. Kansas City went under the total in six of its last seven matchups.
Texans at Chiefs Betting Trends
Late on, Houston has been a weak betting value on the road as of late. The Texans covered only one of their most recent five away games. Houston went under the total in four of their last six road tilts.
Kansas City has played its best football and shown the most value at Arrowhead. To illuminate, the Chiefs covered the spread in six of their most recent nine home games. Kansas City went under the total in five of their last six games at Arrowhead.
In the series between the Texans and Chiefs, Kansas City covered three of the most recent five meetings. Houston and Kansas City went over the total in six of their last seven meetings.
At Arrowhead, the Texans have not fared well against the Chiefs. Kansas City covered the spread in three of its last four home games with the Texans. Correlate that the Texans and Chiefs went over the total in four of their last five games at Arrowhead.
Texans at Chiefs SBG Free Picks
Despite their problems this season, the Chiefs have been at their best at home. Kansas City has quality Betting on NFL wins over the Colts, Lions, and Ravens. Finally, Houston is not the same team that it was in the previous two years.
Texans at Chiefs SBG Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs and Under the Total.