Houston Texans +15½ (-105) 44½ (-110)
New England Patriots -15½ (-115) 44½ (-110)
The Texans beat the Oakland Raiders 27-14 on Saturday in the wild card round. Brock Osweiler threw 14 of 25 for 168 yards with one TD pass. Lamar Miller ran for 73 yards and one TD on 31 carries. DeAndre Hopkins had 67 yards and one TD on five receptions. Nick Novak kicked 2 of 2 field goals. Johnathan Joseph had 10 tackles. Whitney Mercilus had two sacks. The Texans’ defense intercepted Connor Cook three times.
Houston finished the regular season 8th in rushing yards (116.2) and 29th in points (17.4), total yards (314.7), and passing yards (198.5) per game, and 1st in total yards (301.3), 2nd in passing yards (201.6), 11th in points (20.5), and 12th in rushing yards (99.7) allowed per game. Osweiler went 301 of 510 (59.0%) for 2957 yards with 15 TDs and 16 picks. Miller ran for 1073 yards and five TDs on 268 carries. Hopkins had 954 yards and four TDs on 78 catches. Benardrick McKinney had 129 combined tackles. Mercilus had 7½ sacks.
In NFL football odds trends, the Texans are 2-6 against the spread in the last eight games, 4-1 straight-up in the last five games, 2-6 against the spread and straight-up in the last eight road games, 1-6 against the spread in the last seven games vs. the Pats, and 0-5 straight-up in the last five games vs. NE. the NFL gambling total has gone over in six of the Texans’ last eight games vs. the Pats.
The NE Patriots (14-2) won the AFC East division title and clinched home field advantage throughout the entire AFC playoffs, as well as a first round bye. New England finished the regular season 3rd in points (27.6), 4th in total yards (386.2) and passing yards (269.2), and 7th in rushing yards (117.0) per game, and 1st in points (15.6), 4th in rushing yards (88.6), 8th in total yards (326.4), and 12th in passing yards (237.9) allowed per game. Tom Brady went 291 of 423 (67.4%) for 3554 yards with 28 TDs and two picks. LeGarrette Blount ran for 1161 yards and 18 TDs on 299 carries. Julian Edelman had 1106 yards on 98 catches while Marcellus Bennett had seven TDs on 55 catches. Logan Ryan had 92 combined tackles. Trey Flowers had seven sacks. Malcolm Butler intercepted four passes.
In NFL football odds trends, the Pats are 5-0 against the spread and straight-up in the last five games, 4-1 against the spread in the last five home games, 16-3 straight-up in the last 19 home games, 6-1 against the spread in the last seven games vs. Houston, and 5-0 straight-up in the last five games vs. the Texans. The NFL gambling total has gone over in six of the Pats’ last eight games vs. Houston.