Handicapping Superbowl Odds

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

Superbowl odds show that the Giants come into Super Bowl XLII having won 10 straight road games since a loss in the first game of the season at Dallas.

Superbowl betting shows that technically both New England and New York are road teams since the game is played in Arizona.  Superbowl odds have the Patriots a 12 point favorite with a total of 53.5.

Superbowl odds show that the Giants have been great against the spread of late, covering in nine of their 10 wins. Superbowl odds tell us that the Patriots have been terrible lately against the spread losing 7 of their last eight. The Giants were underdogs in five of their ten road games. The Patriots were favored by at least five in every road game, and had to lay as many as 16 points on occasion. Superbowl odds show that the favorite in this year’s playoffs has not done well against the spread. The favorite has covered only two times. The Giants have covered as underdogs in every game in the playoffs while the Patriots haven’t covered their two games against Jacksonville and San Diego.  As you look at Superbowl betting you might want to know that the team that has rushed more has won most Super Bowls.  The Patriots and Giants are almost equal in rushing attempts this season. Considering Superbowl odds we see that the Giants have been an underdog by more than 10 points just once in the last three years and that was this past December when they covered against these same Patriots as a 13 point underdog. The Patriots have been big favorites many times.  They were more than a 10 point favorite 13 times this season and went 6-7 against the spread in those games.

Big favorites in Superbowl betting have done okay.  They have won almost 60% of the time against the spread when laying double-digits in Superbowl odds.  If you are one of the many bettors looking at Superbowl odds in terms of the money line you should know that the underdog doesn’t win very often.  The underdog has won only 10 times in the previous 41 Super Bowls.  That makes the underdog a poor choice in Superbowl odds but it is actually a worse bet than that.  Superbowl odds always give underdogs poor value on the money line because the public likes to bet underdogs on the Superbowl odds money line and the sportsbooks know this. As you look at Superbowl betting this year those are just a few things to keep in mind.

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