Forward Thinking in NFL Betting

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

NFL betting gamblers that succeed and make money are likely doing things differently than you are.

One of the first things you must do when wagering against the NFL betting spread is forget everything that you have ever learned about NFL betting. NFL betting handicappers normally lose money. That is because a handicapper will take information that is available to everyone, most importantly the NFL betting public and, of course, the oddsmakers, and try win money. Another problem with handicapping the NFL betting spread is that it is almost entirely based on the past. Statistics are numbers that are generated from past Games, and while they can serve as a useful guide, they are not the answer to long-term success versus the NFL betting spread.

If statistics were the solution to your sportsbook gambling woes, then how come all of those elaborate software packages that pick games based on the numbers don’t make anybody any money in NFL betting?

Anyone that has made any study of NFL betting can tell you that what goes up must come down, and vice versa. There are few things more useless in NFL betting than trends, yet trend handicappers are a dime a dozen. Just like statistics, trends are based on the past and the further that a trend goes in one direction, the more that it is due to correct itself as you can run, but not hide, from the NFL betting oddsmakers, who will eventually catch up to trends with their lines.

Another thing to keep in mind is that few factors make a gambler go off the deep end more than last week’s results. Many gamblers that wager against the NFL betting spread won’t look at anything other than what happened last week. If you want to be forward thinking you must do more than look at what happened last week in NFL betting.

Remember to look beyond stats, trends and past results as you get involved in NFL betting. Look more at public perception and who the NFL betting oddsmakers want you to take each week.

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