Football Betting Trends

For example, if the home team in a game has covered ten consecutive games at home and five consecutive games over their opponent as the host, the oddsmakers are going to know that the football betting public is on to that trend and, as a result, will over-charge gamblers for the privilege of taking that home team, making the visitor a value-added play.

Another fact of life in betting is that trends eventually reverse themselves. All you have to do is study the records of various teams over the years and you will find that if they had a good season or two as a home favorite that the trend eventually corrects itself over time due to oddsmaker adjustments on the prices in relation to consumer demand.

Ultimately, the biggest problem with trend handicapping as you bet football is that it is reactive in nature, as it is based in direct reaction to things that happened in the past compared to what is happening now. You must remember in football betting that players and coaches will change. So do systems and league rules. All of that adds up to the one constant about football betting, if not sports in general, which is change. And past trends do not have any relation to current change.

While trend handicapping in football betting is a decent guide it is not and should never be considered gospel. Trends are just one of many ingredients that should go into the final wagering decision in football betting.