Current Super Bowl Betting Trends

December 1, 2010 NFL Football

Super Bowl betting favors the Indianapolis Colts over the New Orleans Saints but that doesn’t mean the trends are in their favor.

There are a lot of trends to consider as you look at Super Bowl odds.  Here are some general ones to get you started.

Super Bowl betting has seen the NFC win 22 of the Super Bowls while the AFC has won 21.  Looking to more recent history we find t hat the AFC is 5-1 straight up in the last six Super Bowls and they have won nine of the last twelve.  That doesn’t always mean they cover the Super Bowl odds though.  Last year Pittsburgh beat Arizona but did not cover the Super Bowl betting line.  The NFC is actually 5-2 against the Super Bowl betting point spread the last seven years.

If you go back through Super Bowl history you will find that favorites and underdogs are almost split right down the middle. It depends upon what closing line you used but overall there is not much of an advantage either way.  The last two years in Super Bowl betting, the underdog has covered the spread as Arizona lost but covered last year against Pittsburgh while the Giants won outright as huge underdogs two years ago against New England.

If you are looking at the total in the Super Bowl you probably are considering taking it over.  That might not be a bad idea since 16 of the last 28 Super Bowls have gone over the total including last year.  What should be remembered though is that last year broke a four-game under streak in Super Bowl betting.  The total on this year’s game between the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints is a very high one at 56.5.  Both teams have great offenses so a lot of points are expected.

Sometimes in Super Bowl betting the pointspread will come into play and the game can land on the number. With the Colts favored by about 5 points it is unlikely that will be the case this season. 

Super Bowl betting has been getting more competitive in recent years. In eight of the last ten Super Bowls, the Super Bowl odds have been a touchdown or less.  Even when it was a high number two years ago, the underdog Giants not only covered the Super Bowl odds, they won the game outright.

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