Chiefs vs. Bills Betting AFC Championship Game Odds, Preview and NFL Picks

Chiefs Host Bills in AFC Championship Game

Of major concern to gamblers is the status of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes suffered an apparent concussion in Sunday’s win over Cleveland. Mahomes is the ultimate impact player in Pro Football betting. While he’ll make every effort to answer the bell Sunday, it’s not been confirmed. Kansas City will be hosting a Buffalo team that is the hottest club on the board. Bills quarterback Josh Allen had a breakthrough 2020 campaign. Accordingly, if Mahomes plays, the Chiefs will still have their hands full. If all else is even, the defense may decide this AFC championship.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Information

Date and Time:Sunday, January 24, 2021, 6:40 p.m. ET
Location:Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Bills at Chiefs TV Coverage:CBS
Bills at Chiefs Odds at SBG Sportsbook:
TeamSpreadTotalML
Bills+3 (-119)53 (-110)+125
Chiefs-3 (-101)53 (-110)-145
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Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs SBG Odds Overview

In this situation, many gamblers are waiting to confirm Mahomes’ status. Some gamblers will bet the Chiefs to get a lower offshore betting price. On the other hand, Buffalo Backers don’t want to step into Mahomes and will wait. If Mahomes is confirmed, the Bills stand to get a better price at that time.

Buffalo Bills Team Overview

Late on, the Bills have come away with the cash in nine of their last ten games. Buffalo is 15-3 straight up, 12-6 against the spread, and 11-6-1 over the total. NFL metrics show the Bills 2nd for scoring and 16th for points allowed.

Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview

Despite their on-field success, the Chiefs have been gushing red ink. Kansas City has failed to cover eight of their last nine. Four of their last seven stayed under the total. Kansas City is 15-2 straight up, 7-10 vs. the line, and 8-9 under the total. Correlate the Chiefs rank 6th for scoring offense and tenth for points allowed.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Against the Spread

Overall, the Bills are 21-12-2 against the spread. Buffalo is 10-4-2 on the board in away games. And the Bills are 14-11-2 vs. the odds against AFC teams.

In sum, the Bills are 15-19-1 under the total. Buffalo is 6-9-1 to the under in away games. And the Bills are 10-16-1 to the under against AFC teams.

To summarize, the Chiefs are 20-15-1 against the spread. Kansas City is 8-7-1 on the board as chalk at Arrowhead. And the Chiefs are 16-10-1 vs. the odds against AFC opponents.

Kansas City is 18-18 over and under. While at Arrowhead, the Chiefs are 11-8 over the odds. KC is 13-14 to the under against AFC teams.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Head-to-Head vs. Spread

Kansas City has covered four of their last five against Buffalo. And then four of those five games went under the total. At Arrowhead, these teams split their previous two meetings ATS and with totals. Earlier this season, Buffalo hosted Kansas City on October 19. Kansas City paid in a 26-17 win with the game under the total.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs SBG Free Picks

Assuming Mahomes plays this game will come down to defense. That is where the Chiefs have a slight Pro Football Betting advantage. And as well as Allen has performed, Mahomes remains even better.

Bills at Chiefs SBG Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs.

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