Due to the elimination of the Patriots on Wild Card weekend do Kansas City fans believe the AFC path is clearer. Chiefs’ expectations were already high entering the playoffs, but now the perception is that KC has a far less difficult task. Houston comes to town after a wild card win over Buffalo as the large betting on NFL dog. By reason of the Chiefs’ prolific offense do gamblers see them as the clear favorite. What is often lost in the conversation is the improved Kansas City defense. That is the element that was missing from 2018.
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
| Date and Time: | Sunday, January 12, 2020, 3:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri |
| Texans vs. Chiefs TV Coverage: | CBS |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +9½ (-110) | 51 (-113) | +348 |  |
| Chiefs | -9½ (-110) | 51 (-107) | -446 | |
| ||||
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Overview
Now the Texans have a sportsbook record of 10-6 straight up, 7-8-1 vs. the odds, and 7-9 under the total. Houston ranks 14th in the NFL for scoring offense and 19th for points allowed. Of great concern is that defense, which ranked 28th for yards permitted. Kansas City has the capability to light it up early and often.
By contrast, the Chiefs are 12-4 straight up, 10-5-1 with the line and 8-8 on totals. Kansas City ranks fifth for scoring offense and seventh for points allowed. Specifically, that defensive improvement has Chiefs fans thinking Super Bowl.
Key Texans: QB Deshaun Watson (67.3% COMP, 3852 YDS, 7.8 AVG, 26 TD, 12 INT, 44 SACK, 98.0 RTG), RB Carlos Hyde (245 ATT, 1070 YDS, 4.4 AVG, 6 TD), WR DeAndre Hopkins (104 REC, 1165 YDS, 11.2 AVG, 7 TD), LB Zach Cunningham (142 TACKLES, 2 SACKS), PK Ka’imi Fairbairn (20-25 FG, 40-45 XP)
Key Chiefs: QB Patrick Mahomes (65.9% COMP, 4031 YDS, 8.3 AVG, 26 TD, 5 INT, 17 SACKS, 105.3 RTG), RB Damien Williams (111 ATT, 498 YDS, 4.5 AVG, 5 TD), TE Travis Kelce (97 REC, 1229 YDS, 12.7 AVG, 5 TD), S Tyrann Mathieu (75 TACKLES, 2 SACKS, 4 INT), PK Harrison Butker (34-38 FG, 45-48 XP)
Houston vs. Kansas City against the spread
The Texans are:
- 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight away games
- 2-5 under the total on the road
- 8-3-1 vs. the line in their last 12 games as a dog
- 6-4 over the total when getting points
- 3-0 on the board in their last three games at Arrowhead Stadium
- 1-2 under the total at Kansas City
The Chiefs are:
- 7-4 against the spread in their last 11 home games
- 6-3 over the total at Arrowhead Stadium
- 11-5 vs. the odds in their last 16 games as a favorite
- 2-5 under the total when laying points
- 3-2 on the board head to head against the Texans
- 3-2 over the total in their last five games vs. Houston
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Bet on NFL Picks
On this occasion, we have a Chiefs team that is a strong Betting on NFL Value at home and as a favorite. Houston beat the Chiefs at Arrowhead 31-24 on October 13 so KC will have their full attention. Supplementing the Chiefs’ advantages is their much more explosive offense.
Texans vs. Chiefs Bet on NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs
Texans vs. Chiefs Bet on NFL Score Prediction: Chiefs 34, Texans 17