Sunday at Lambeau is the first Bears-Packers meeting of 2026. And it does not look like the game the schedule-makers had in mind. Chicago is 3-1 and a NFL odds road favorite, something that has not happened at Lambeau in more than 20 years. Green Bay is 2-2 and still waiting on Micah Parsons.
The Bears have won two straight games without Caleb Williams. He strained his right hamstring in the Week 2 loss to Minnesota, a Grade 2 injury that could keep him out for three to four weeks. In turn, Ben Johnson said Monday that Tyson Bagent will start. Williams will not practice this week and is week-to-week. This marks a third straight missed game.
Case Keenum ran a 27-7 win over Philadelphia, then took only the opening snap Sunday before Bagent handled a 23-12 win over the Jets. Overall, that Jets game was a grind in the best sense. To show it, 34 first downs to 7 and 492 yards to 157. More emphatically, Kyle Monangai rushed for 146 yards and two scores.
So far, Chicago has been the league’s heaviest rushing team through four weeks. The only loss was a 9-3 slog against the undefeated Vikings.
Green Bay’s path back to .500 was narrower. The Packers beat Tampa Bay 17-14 on Sunday, with Jordan Love throwing two touchdowns. The defense sealed it with a fourth-down incompletion. As a result, it was their first cover of the season. And it came against an undrafted rookie quarterback.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kickoff at 1 p.m. Eastern |
|---|---|
| Location: | Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. |
| TV Coverage: | FOX |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | -1½ ( -120 ) | 45½ ( -113 ) | -137 |  |
| Green Bay Packers | +1½ ( -106 ) | 45½ ( -113 ) | +112 | |
| ||||
The Chicago Bears visit the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kickoff at 1 p.m. Eastern at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. In the United States, FOX is airing the game. The NFL flexed it down from the original 4:25 p.m. Eastern window. So locally, that is a noon Central start. The Christmas Offshore Betting rematch is later, December 25, at Soldier Field.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Matchup Analysis
The NFL Betting lever in this game is not the quarterback names. Instead, it is whether Chicago can turn Lambeau into the same long, ugly possession game it just played at Soldier Field. Cause by Green Bay has not shown it can live in that kind of afternoon.
Ben Johnson’s offense against the Jets was a jab fest. To show, Kyle Monangai took 30 carries for 146 yards and both touchdowns, 18 of them after D’Andre Swift’s fumble. Indeed, the Bears held the ball for nearly 43 minutes. The last drive started with 9:16 left, and Chicago never gave the ball back. Specifically, it was nine Monangai touches and one 18-yard throw to Colston Loveland.
Meanwhile, Tyson Bagent was the complement, not the point. Bagent was 25 of 34 for 268 yards, no touchdown, one interception, an 83.9 rating. Green Bay’s problem is that its own offense cannot answer that style.
Of great concern, the Packers are last in the league in rushing with only 58 yards a game. So Chicago has no counter-grind once the Packers start bleeding the clock.
Jordan Love has been a different quarterback depending on the pocket. To illustrate, he was pressured on about 44 percent of dropbacks. And his passer rating fell from the 110s when clean to about 40 under pressure. Subsequently, turnover-worthy plays piled up once the rush arrived.
SBG Free Picks
Wise Guys say Chicago is the side, and the total leans under. To illustrate, the Packers are last in the league in rushing. As mentioned earlier, Jordan Love’s rating collapses once the pocket gets dirty.
SBG Best Bet: Chicago Bears and Under the Total.