When it comes to American football betting, Buffalo is the Puerto Rico to the New England Patriots’ U.S. of A. The Pats have covered the NFL betting spread in 20 of their last 31 trips to The City of Good Neighbors, and, more generally speaking, have won 24 of the last 27 meetings between the two by an average margin of 16.33 points. New England has gone 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five overall games, and won their last three by an average of 22.6 points while allowing just 13.14 points per game in their last seven.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 27, 2017
- Date: Sunday, 3rd December
- Time: 1:05 PM
- Venue: New Era Field
- Sportsbook online odds:
Patriots -8 (-111) 49 (-110)
Bills +8 (-109) 49 (-110)
Patriots pulled the old switcheroo
If they made a remake of Trading Places starring football teams instead of individual actors, the Pats would play the Eddie Murphy role while the Bills would be cast in the Dan Aykroyd part. Once upon a time the Buffalo had a one-game advantage in the AFC East over New England, but the Patriots have gone 7-0 ever since while the Bills have spiraled 3-4, leading to head coach Sean McDermott to experience a nervous breakdown and starting rookie Nathan Peterman instead of Tyrod Taylor. On Sunday, the NFL Superbowl line faves Pats will face a Bills team that appears to want to tank but are scared to pull the chord on their season. In other words, the natural state of things. New England is 40-6 SU in their last 46 games in December, and has been in six 50-point games this season. Considering that the total has gone over in five of Buffalos last six games, and allowed the Chargers 54 points, the 49-point American football betting total is not really that far-fetched.
Bills got Tyrod of losing
The Bills snapped a three-game SU and ATS skid on Sunday, defeating the Chiefs 16-10 in Tyrod Taylor’s return to the starting lineup (now available with 35% more ability to make checks at the line of scrimmage), which is all well and good, but let’s keep in mind that if the Pats and Bills aren’t the same teams that started the season, then neither is Kansas City the same Chiefs that upset the Patriots in the kickoff game. However, Buffalo offensive coordinator Rick Denison thinks the Bills can keep up with the Joneses of the NFL. “Well, that’s why I’m coaching,” Dennison said. “I mean, if I didn’t think I had a chance, I wouldn’t be here. Of course I think I got a chance. I love this team and I believe in what we’re doing. I’m going to work. I just started watching. They’re a tremendous team. This will be a big challenge for us but that’s what we’re here for, to go out there and win games.” Your optimism is very refreshing, Rick. The Bills are 1-5 outright and against the American football betting spread in their last six games when playing against divisional foes.