Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks (01/07/2024)

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks (01-07-2024)

Previously, the Buffalo Bills were a top-tier AFC favorite in the Pro Football Betting future market. But last year’s home flop to Cincinnati in the AFC divisional playoffs served as the beginning of the end. Buffalo was the highly touted favorite to win the 2022 AFC title. Since that loss to the Bengals, the Bills have declined noticeably. On Sunday night, the Bills are in Miami to face the team that has replaced them as the class of the AFC East. To show the Dolphins are an emerging power and legitimate Super Bowl contender.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Information

Date and Time:Sunday, January 7, 2024, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location:Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL.
TV Coverage:NBC
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Bills-3 -11050 -110-165
Dolphins+3 -11050 -110+140
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Buffalo Bills Team Overview

Last game, the Buffalo Bills won 27-21 against the New England Patriots as 14.5-point home favorites. The game went over the sports betting total of 40. Buffalo has a record of 10-6 straight up, 6-9-1 against the spread, and 6-10 over/under the total. Buffalo ranks 5th for total offense, 10th for passing, 7th for rushing, and 6th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 10th overall, 7th against the pass, 15th against the rush, and 4th for points allowed. Also, Buffalo ranks 25th for fewest turnovers lost and 2nd for takeaways.

Buffalo is riding a four-game straight-up winning streak. Also, the Bills have lost only two of their previous six games to the spread. The Bills have shown flashes of their old selves since the change to Joe Brady as offensive coordinator. Brady has found the gears that the fired Ken Dorsey lost. Hence, Buffalo has regained its confidence as an AFC power.

Quarterback Josh Allen rushed for a pair of 1-yard touchdowns, and the Bills held off a late rally by the Patriots. With the win, Buffalo will enter the regular season’s final week, holding the AFC’s second wild-card berth. However, they are not yet assured of a postseason spot.

Allen made up for a shaky day through the air with his performance on the ground. In sum, he completed just 15 of 30 throws for 169 yards and was picked off once. Dalton Kincaid had four catches for 87 yards. Of great concern is that Allen was knocked from the game in the final two minutes due to an apparent left shoulder injury.

Miami Dolphins Team Overview

Last game, the Miami Dolphins lost 56-19 against the Baltimore Ravens as 3-point road dogs. The game went over a total of 47. Miami has a record of 11-5 straight up, 10-6 against the spread, and 9-7 over/under the total. Miami ranks 1st for total offense, 1st for passing, 5th for rushing, and 1st for scoring. Defensively, they rank 9th overall, 12th against the pass, 7th against the rush, and 22nd for points allowed. Also, Miami ranks 20th for the fewest turnovers lost and 15th for takeaways.

The loss at Baltimore was a heaping helping of humble pie for the Dolphins, who were riding high. Miami was exposed for its soft nature and was outclassed by a more serious contender in the Ravens. Indeed, Baltimore left no doubt about who the better club was.

Bills at Dolphins SBG Free Picks

As was previously noted, the Bills need a win to ensure a Pro Football Betting playoff spot. Buffalo should get a more favorable price as the quality away team.

Bills at Dolphins SBG Best Bets: Buffalo Bills.

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