At the beginning of the season, the Jacksonville Jaguars were largely ignored on the NFL odds future market. So too were the Buffalo Bills not as popular as in the past. None of that matters now that the Jags will host the Bills in a Sunday NFL Wild Card Weekend matchup. The Jaguars are a reborn franchise under the leadership of head coach Liam Coen. Namely, Trevor Lawrence has rebooted his career as an NFL quarterback for the Jags. The Buffalo Bills are in the NFL Playoffs for the seventh consecutive season.
Buffalo has long been touted as Super Bowl material. But the Bills did not play like that this season. Their 12 wins were of the patchwork variety. By contrast, the Jaguars have built momentum to become a serious playoff brand that gamblers are impressed with.
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars
| Date and Time: | Sunday, January 11, 2026, 1 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
| TV Coverage: | CBS |
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -1(-105) | 52 (-110) | -110 |  |
| Jaguars | +1 (-115) | 52 (-110) | -110 | |
| ||||
Bills at Jaguars Betting Odds Overview
Buffalo opened as a 1.5-point favorite, with Jacksonville a 1.5-point dog. Buffalo is a -120 moneyline chalk with Jacksonville at +102. The Bills and Jags opened with an o/u total of 51.5.
Betting action is split between these two teams. Specifically, sharps and squares are on both sides, making for an honest line.
Buffalo Bills Team Overview
Last game, the Buffalo Bills won 35-8 against the New York Jets as 13-point home favorites. The game went over a total of 39. As a result, Buffalo is 12-5 straight up, 8-9 against the spread, and 9-8 over/under the sportsbook total. Recently, Buffalo has covered the spread in two out of its last five games. Buffalo went over the total in four of its last five matchups.
Buffalo ranks 4th for total offense, 15th for passing, 1st for rushing, 5th for scoring, and 16th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Buffalo ranks 7th in total defense, 1st vs. the pass, 28th vs. the rush, 12th in fewest points allowed, and 14th in takeaways.
Jacksonville Jaguars Team Overview
Last game, the Jacksonville Jaguars won 41-7 against the Tennessee Titans as 12.5-point home favorites. The game went over a total of 46. Now, Jacksonville is 13-4 straight up, 12-4-1 against the spread, and 10-7 over/under the NFL Football Betting total. Lately, Jacksonville has covered eight consecutive games. Jacksonville went over the total in four of its last five matchups.
Overall, Jacksonville ranks 11th for total offense, 12th for passing, 20th for rushing, 6th for scoring, and 14th for fewest turnovers committed. Jacksonville ranks 11th for total defense, 21st vs. the pass, 1st vs. the rush, 8th in fewest points allowed, and 2nd in takeaways.
Bills at Jaguars Betting Trends
The Bills are 5-1 straight up in their last six games. Buffalo went over the total in six of their last seven January road tilts. In like manner, Jacksonville is 8-0 straight up in its last eight away games. Jacksonville has covered the spread in eight of its most recent ten home games. Jacksonville covered the spread in seven consecutive games against AFC teams. Specifically in Jacksonville, the Bills and Jaguars went under the total in four of their last five meetings.
Bills at Jaguars SBG Free Picks
In this situation, Jacksonville has the superior recent body of work. In fact, it is surprising that the Jaguars are not the NFL Betting favorite. The Jags are the better value as the home dog.
Bills at Jaguars SBG Best Bets:
Jacksonville Jaguars