At the beginning of each NFL season is speculation that New England is washed up and done. In turn the Patriots often feed into that betting on NFL perception with slow starts to their seasons. Such as when they stumbled out of the gate this year with two losses in their first three games. Specifically, the Pats loss at Detroit was seen by some as the beginning of the end. However, since that time New England has won three games in a row. But there is danger this weekend at Chicago. Commencing with the Bears surprise record of 3-2.
New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears
Date and Time: Sunday, October 21, 2018, 1 p.m. ET
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
Betting on NFL odds at SBG:
|Patriots||-3 (-110)||49 (-110)|
|Bears||+3 (-110)||49 (-110)|
Patriots vs. Bears TV Coverage: CBS
Chicago has shown vast improvement so far under new coach Matt Nagy. Indeed, they have won and covered three of their five games. Most important of all they lead the NFC North. In the same way the Bears have developed one of the top defenses in the NFL. For example, Chicago ranks fourth in the league for points allowed. Owing to Nagy and quarterback Mitchell Trubisky the Bears offense has improved as well. For instance, Chicago ranks 10th in the NFL for scoring offense. Last week the Bears lost at Miami 31-28 in overtime.
Trubisky has a 105.6 rating with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Due to Nagy’s success as Kansas City offensive coordinator offensive improvement was expected. Yet the Bears have exceeded expectations in that regard.
New England Patriots
New England is 4-2 straight up and 3-3 vs. the line and with totals. Last Sunday the Pats failed to cover a 43-40 home win over Kansas City. On the whole the Pats rank fourth in the NFL for scoring offense and 19th for scoring defense. Tom Brady has thrown 13 touchdown passes with six interceptions.
Stats to Consider
New England has dropped as a betting on NFL value when laying points of the road. Late on the Patriots mark of just one payout in their last four as road chalks. Four of their last five in that situation have gone under the total. Balanced against that is Chicago’s remarkable board value as a home pup. As a matter of fact, the Bears have lost just one of their last 12 games vs. the odds as a home dog. Four of their last five in that situation have gone under the total.
Team vs. Team
New England has covered five of their last eight online wagering matchups with Chicago. Additionally, four of the last five in this series have gone over the total. Even so the Bears have paid in two of their last three at home vs. New England. Likewise, the last three between these teams at Soldier Field have gone over the total.
Matchup to Watch
Extending Chicago’s Betting on NFL improvement is their great value as a home dog. Important in this matchup are the Bears improved metrics. By contrast the Patriots defense is still less than stellar. Furthermore, Chicago is playing with confidence. As mentioned earlier they are a deadly dog at Soldier Field.
Patriots vs. Bears Betting on NFL Picks
To summarize the Bears are a proven home dog and much improved team.
Patriots vs. Bears Betting on NFL Pick: Chicago Bears
Patriots vs. Bears Betting on NFL Score Prediction: Bears 21, Patriots 20
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