Baltimore visits Atlanta on Sunday Night Football at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Ravens arrive at 3-1 under first-year head coach Jesse Minter. As a result, the Ravens are sitting level with Cleveland at the top of the AFC North. Atlanta is 2-2 in Kevin Stefanski’s first season. Hence, the Falcons are tied with Carolina for the NFC South lead after a Monday night NFL odds rout of the Saints.
Baltimore’s offense has been more consistent, averaging 29 points and 395 yards a game. Namely, Lamar Jackson has thrown for 967 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry has 374 rushing yards and 7 scores.
Zay Flowers leads the receivers with 352 yards. The results have been uneven. For example, they had a 41-23 win at Indianapolis and a 17-24 home loss to New Orleans. Additionally, Baltimore scored a 34-31 win over Dallas in the international window. Then they beat Tennessee 24-18 at home, though they were big Offshore Bookmaker favorites and did not cover.
Jackson’s ankle is the main availability question. Minter said Monday that he wasn’t sure Jackson would be ready for Sunday night. And Flowers has also been listed with a hamstring issue in some reports.
Certainly, Atlanta’s profile is more volatile. The Falcons scored 13 at Pittsburgh and only 3 at home against Carolina. And then flipped the script with a 35-14 win at Green Bay and a 45-24 Monday night win at New Orleans. Michael Penix Jr. is at 479 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception through the early season. Of course, that is well behind Jackson’s pace.
Bijan Robinson has been the engine: 494 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Including 145 yards and two scores in the Saints game. Drake London has 370 receiving yards. Atlanta’s run game is among the league’s best per game. However, the pass game has not been.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kickoff at 8:20 p.m. Eastern |
|---|---|
| Location: | Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. |
| TV Coverage: | NBC/Peacock |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | +3 ( -115 ) | 43½ ( -115 ) | +150 |  |
| Atlanta Falcons | -3 ( -105 ) | 43½ ( -111 ) | -185 | |
| ||||
The Baltimore Ravens visit the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kickoff at 8:20 p.m. Eastern at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. In the United States, it is the Week 5 Sunday Night Football game on NBC, with the stream on Peacock.
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons Matchup Analysis
The real NFL Betting collision on Sunday night is two very different run games meeting two very different fronts. In turn, Lamar Jackson’s left ankle may decide which version of the Ravens even shows up.
Atlanta’s defense is built to shut down the run. Through four weeks, the Falcons lead the league in rushing yards allowed, at about 48 a game and 2.7 yards a carry. Including a sharply negative EPA per rush.
Meanwhile, Baltimore has leaned on Derrick Henry for 374 yards and seven touchdowns. And the Ravens’ offense has been at its best when Henry and Jackson are both threats on the same snap.
The other side of the ball is the opposite problem. Atlanta’s pass defense has been soft. For example, they’re allowing more than 260 yards a game and ranking near the bottom of the league. The rush defense has carried the unit. That is the opening Baltimore’s passing game wants if Jackson is himself.
SBG Free Picks
To conclude, sharps like Atlanta plus the points and under the total. Of great concern is that Lamar Jackson is day-to-day after leaving the Titans game with an ankle and sitting the second half in a boot. Thus, if he is limited or out, Derrick Henry will face a loaded box against the league’s best run defense
SBG Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons and Under the Total.