Since the 2020 season, the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs have met three times in the playoffs. Kansas City won all three games. On Sunday, they will clash again in the AFC Championship Game. Indeed, Kansas City has been an NFL betting odds thorn in Buffalo’s side. Two years ago, when Buffalo lost to the Cincinnati Bengals in the postseason, their Super Bowl window was said to be shut. Instead, the Bills proved to be the most resilient team in the NFL. Counter to that is a Kansas City team seeking an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl title.
AFC Championship Game Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
| Date and Time: | Sunday, January 26, 2025, 6:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV Coverage: | CBS |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +1½ -112 | 47½ -110 | +109 |  |
| Chiefs | -1½ -108 | 47½ -110 | -129 | |
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Buffalo Bills Team Overview
Last game, the Buffalo Bills won 27-25 against the Baltimore Ravens as 1-point home dogs. The game went to a push with the total of 52. Buffalo has a record of 13-4 straight up, 10-7 against the spread, and 11-5-1 over/under the offshore betting total. Buffalo ranks 11th for total offense, 10th for passing, 10th for rushing, and 2nd for scoring. Defensively, they rank 15th overall, 21st against the pass, 12th against the rush, and 12th for points allowed. Also, Bufalo ranks 1st for fewest turnovers lost and 7th for takeaways.
Josh Allen rushed for touchdowns of 1 and 4 yards. But he threw for only 127 yards and rushed for 20. In sum, Buffalo finished with a modest 273 yards of offense that included rookie Ray Davis scoring on a 1-yard run. The Bills allowed 176 yards rushing and 416 overall to the Ravens. However, they compensated by forcing three turnovers.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Overview
Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs won 23-14 against the Houston Texans as 10-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 41.5. Kansas City has a record of 15-2 straight up, 8-9 against the spread, and 7-10 over/under the total. Kansas City ranks 16th for total offense, 14th for passing, 22nd for rushing, and 15th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 9th overall, 18th against the pass, 8th against the rush, and 4th for points allowed. Also, Kansas City ranks 5th for fewest turnovers lost and 16th for takeaways.
Namely, Patrick Mahomes connected with veteran Travis Kelce seven times for 117 yards and a touchdown. At the same time, Kansas City’s defense dragged Houston quarterback CJ Stroud to the ground eight times. Hence, the Chiefs rolled to a victory Saturday that sent the two-time defending Super Bowl champions to the AFC title game for the seventh consecutive season.
Bills at Chiefs SBG Free Picks
Late on, Buffalo got the cash in four of its most recent six Pro Football bets matchups against Kansas City. The Bills and Chiefs went over the total in five of their last six meetings. Specifically at Kansas City, Buffalo covered three of its most recent five visits. The Chiefs and Bills went over the total in three of those five games at Arrowhead.
Correlate that Kansas City has gone under the total in six of their most recent seven games. Buffalo went over the total in two of their last five games,
While all of the talk and focus will be on Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes, the game will likely be decided on defense. And that is where Kansas City has a distinct advantage. Additionally, Mahomes is a proven clutch performer and champion. Finally, Kansas City is getting a good price at home, where they have won 12 consecutive games.
Bills at Chiefs SBG Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs and Under the Total